Josh Allen has emerged as the early favorite to win NFL MVP for the 2026 season, according to the latest odds from Lucky Rebel.
With training camps just getting underway, oddsmakers have already posted a full board for the league’s top individual award, and Buffalo’s star quarterback sits atop the list as the clear front-runner heading into the season.
2026 NFL MVP Odds: Full List
- Josh Allen +550
- Lamar Jackson +750
- Joe Burrow +850
- Drake Maye +1000
- Justin Herbert +1000
- Patrick Mahomes +1100
- Dak Prescott +1200
- Matthew Stafford +1400
- Caleb Williams +1400
- Jayden Daniels +2000
- Brock Purdy +2000
- Jordan Love +2000
- Trevor Lawrence +2000
- Sam Darnold +2800
- Jalen Hurts +2800
- Bo Nix +3300
- Jared Goff +3500
- Baker Mayfield +4000
- Jaxson Dart +4500
- C.J. Stroud +4500
- Kyler Murray +5000
- Cam Ward +6500
- Daniel Jones +7500
- Tyler Shough +10000
- Jahmyr Gibbs +10000
- Bryce Young +10000
- Aaron Rodgers +10000
- Bijan Robinson +10000
Note: Odds are subject to change and are provided by Lucky Rebel.
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Josh Allen Favored In NFL MVP Odds
It’s hard to argue with Buffalo’s status atop the board.
At +550, Allen is priced well ahead of the field, and it’s easy to see why.
He’s been one of the most consistent dual-threat quarterbacks in the league for years, combining big-play passing with a rushing ability that few players at his position can match.
With a Bills roster built to win now and an offense that runs almost entirely through him, Allen remains the safest bet on the board.
They are currently marked as the second favorites in the NFL Super Bowl odds market.
Voters have leaned toward quarterbacks on winning teams in recent years, and Buffalo’s continued place among the AFC’s top contenders only strengthens his case heading into the fall.
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Jackson, Burrow and the AFC Logjam
Right behind Allen, the board is stacked with AFC talent.
Lamar Jackson checks in at +750, a reflection of his blend of MVP-caliber production and Baltimore’s perennial playoff push.
Joe Burrow follows at +850, with Cincinnati’s high-powered passing attack keeping him firmly in the conversation whenever he’s on the field.
Justin Herbert and Drake Maye are both priced at +1000, an interesting pairing of an established star and a rising second-year passer.
Herbert has the arm talent and supporting cast to make a leap this season, while Maye’s rapid development in New England has bettors buying in early.
A step behind them, Patrick Mahomes at +1100 is a reminder that betting against Kansas City’s quarterback rarely ends well, even in a crowded field.
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NFL MVP Dark Horses Worth a Second Look
Further down the board, several names stand out as potential value plays.
Jayden Daniels, Brock Purdy, Jordan Love and Trevor Lawrence are all bunched at +2000, a group capable of climbing quickly if their teams get off to hot starts.
Daniels in particular has shown flashes of the kind of dynamic playmaking that voters tend to reward.
Even further out, names like Bijan Robinson and Jahmyr Gibbs at +10000 highlight how rare it is for a non-quarterback to break into the MVP conversation, though both have the individual talent to make a case if their teams overperform.
As always with awards markets posted this early, expect plenty of movement once the season gets underway and a clearer picture of each contender’s supporting cast comes into focus.
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