One Battle After Another Opening Weekend Box Office Odds & Predictions

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A man points a gun.

One of the biggest gambles of 2025 is One Battle After Another. Can this movie churn a profit with a budget of over $130 million? View the opening weekend box office odds and predictions for One Battle After Another.

What is One Battle After Another About?

Welcome to the revolution.

In One Battle After Another, Leonardo DiCaprio stars as Bob Ferguson, a member of the revolutionary group known as the French 75. Bob used to be an important member of the group that made explosives.

16 years later, Bob is a washed-up stoner. Bob is a father to a free-spirited daughter, Willa (Chase Infiniti). When his former rival (Sean Penn) resurfaces, Bob must come out of retirement to find his missing daughter and save her before it’s too late.

One Battle After Another’s cast includes Benicio del Toro, Regina Hall, and Teyana Taylor.

Paul Thomas Anderson writes and directs One Battle After Another. The film is loosely inspired by Thomas Pynchon’s novel Vineland.

The movie hails from Warner Bros. Pictures, which will look to continue its impressive 2025 with another box office hit. Warner’s list of 2025 box office successes includes A Minecraft Movie, Sinners, Final Destination Bloodlines, F1: The Movie, Superman, Weapons, and The Conjuring: Last Rites.

One Battle After Another hits theaters on September 26, 2025.

One Battle After Another Opening Weekend Box Office Odds & Predictions

One Battle After Another Opening Weekend Box Office: Domestic Odds
Less than $23 million -156
$23 million to $29 million +163
Over $29 million +9900

Odds via Polymarket on 9/26/25 at 4:15 p.m. ET

One Battle After Another is a true test of DiCaprio’s star power.

The Oscar winner remains one of the 10 biggest stars in Hollywood. However, DiCaprio recently turned 50. Does he still have the juice to carry a movie to profitability? We will find out by the end of the year.

The Thursday previews are in, and One Battle After Another earned $3.1 million (via Deadline). That is ahead of Killers of the Flower Moon, which only made $2.3 million.

With those previews, One Battle After Another is projected to open around $25 million (+163).

One Battle After Another carries a budget between $130 million and $175 million. This movie will need legs to make a profit. However, that shouldn’t hurt its Oscar chances. As one of the best-reviewed movies of the year, One Battle After Another is at the top of the Best Picture race.