Sports
Stephen A. Smith for President? Here’s What the 2028 Betting Odds Say About His Chances

Key Highlights
- Stephen A. Smith is favorite to beat Donald Trump if both run in 2028, based on current betting odds.
- Smith has a 6.7% chance of winning the U.S. presidency in 2028.
- He holds an 11.1% chance of securing the Democratic nomination.
Stephen A. Smith Odds for President and More:
- To run as Democratic candidate: +200 (33.3% probability)
- To win Democratic nomination: +800 (11.1%)
- To beat Donald Trump in 2028 if both run: -125 (55.6%)
- To win the presidency: +1400 (6.7%)
Stephen A. Smith 2028 Presidential Odds
Stephen A. Smith isn’t a politician. But he might be a presidential candidate. A recent post saying he’s “leaving all doors open” triggered an immediate response in betting markets. Our expert traders—with decades of experience at top sportsbooks—have created odds on multiple scenarios involving Smith. Let’s take a look if they believe Stephen A. Smith is a presidential candidate.
𝗕𝗥𝗘𝗔𝗞𝗜𝗡𝗚: Stephen A. Smith has announced that he is “leaving all doors open” for a potential presidential run in 2028.
“Time to stop messing around. Life is great. Especially at ESPN/Disney. Hate the thought of being a politician. But sick of this mess. So I’m officially… pic.twitter.com/EEnbrmi69u
— Dov Kleiman (@NFL_DovKleiman) April 8, 2025
Stephen A. Smith Favored Over Donald Trump in Early Betting Odds
Oddsmakers price Stephen A. Smith as a slight favorite over Donald Trump in a 2028 matchup:
- Smith: -125 (55.6%)
- Trump: +100 (50%)
Donald Trump has often spoken about running again, but a third term would be unconstitutional. However, if it somehow happens, betting markets currently favor Smith in that matchup.
This is purely hypothetical, but it shows something important: oddsmakers don’t just think Smith could compete, but that he would emerge victorious.
His public profile, direct communication style, and presence in national debates are all factors. He’s been increasingly outspoken on politics, and the market is paying attention.
Smith’s Democratic Nomination Odds Put Him in Long-Shot Tier
At +800 (11.1%), Smith sits in the long-shot category to win the Democratic nomination. He’s behind governors and senators but still ahead of many politicians (and non-politicians) that would be in the running.
That number reflects early intrigue. Our traders are reacting to his visibility and the possibility of a serious announcement. His odds to run at all, at +200 (33.3%), suggest that a candidacy isn’t far-fetched.
Odds to Win Presidency Suggest Smith Isn’t Being Dismissed
Smith is currently +1400 (6.7%) to win the presidency outright. That’s not frontrunner territory, but it’s enough to be noticed. It’s higher than random speculation numbers and in the same range as figures who eventually built real campaigns. If Smith does anything to formalize his interest—debates, campaign staff, media rounds—this price drops fast.
What Experts Say About Stephen A. Smith’s Betting Odds
Nick Raffoul, Head of News at SportsCasting, had this to say about Smith’s place in the market:
“Stephen A. Smith isn’t just in the odds for clicks. His name recognition is massive, and he speaks directly to a frustrated public. If he signals that he’s seriously exploring a run, bookmakers will tighten the lines. He has a built-in audience and a media machine that most politicians can’t replicate. That makes him a wildcard. The market reflects that.”