Movies

The Amateur Opening Weekend Box Office Predictions & Odds

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Rami Malek and Laurence Fishburne stare in opposite sides.

Rami Malek is out for revenge in The Amateur. View the predictions and odds for The Amateur’s opening weekend box office total.

What Is The Amateur About?

Charlie Heller (Malek) is a CIA cryptographer who spends most of his time cracking codes in the basement at Langley.

Charlie’s life comes crashing down after his wife (Rachel Brosnahan) is killed in a London terrorist attack.

Fueled by revenge, Charlie wants to come out from behind his desk and enter the field to face his wife’s killers.

When his bosses refuse to help him, Charlie seeks mentorship from Robert Henderson (Laurence Fishburne), a trained killer.

Despite being underestimated, Charlie slowly becomes a vigilante and uses his intelligence to become a one-man killing machine.

The Amateur also stars Caitríona Balfe, Jon Bernthal, Michael Stuhlbarg, Holt McCallany, Julianne Nicholson, Adrian Martinez, and Danny Sapani.

James Hawes directs The Amateur from a screenplay by Ken Nolan and Gary Spinelli. The movie is based on the novel by Robert Littell.

The Amateur opens in theaters on April 11, 2025.

The Amateur Opening Weekend Box Office Odds

The Amateur Opening Weekend Box Office: Domestic Odds
Less than $13 million +1900
$13 million-$16 million -117
$16 million-$19 million +245
Over $19 million +567

Odds via Polymarket on 4/9/25 at 10:15 p.m. ET

The Amateur is projected to open north of $10 million, with Polymarket pegging it between $13 million and $16 million (-117).

A good comp for The Amateur is American Assassin, the 2017 action movie starring Dylan O’Brien about a CIA recruit who joins the agency after a terrorist organization kills his wife. American Assassin opened to $14.8 million.

The Amateur will try to improve upon the $7.6 million opening from Black Bag, another espionage thriller that opened last month.

A Minecraft Movie will easily win the week, but The Amateur will battle other movies like King of Kings, The Drop, and Warfare for second place.