UFC Mexico Odds, Predictions, & Best Prop Bets

UFC Mexico City promises an electrifying night of fights this Saturday, March 29, at Arena CDMX. Headlining the event is Mexico’s own Brandon Moreno, a former two-time UFC flyweight champion, facing Steve Erceg in a pivotal flyweight bout. Moreno, coming off a decision win over Amir Albazi, looks to continue his resurgence, while Erceg aims to snap his two-fight skid and reestablish himself as a top contender.

Brandon Moreno is the betting favorite in his #UFCMexico return against Steve Erceg this weekend 🇲🇽 💰

(via @BlockBetGG)

— MMA Orbit (@mma_orbit) March 26, 2025

The co-main event features a lightweight showdown between Manuel Torres and Drew Dober. Torres, riding momentum from recent victories, will test his striking against Dober’s knockout power in what promises to be an explosive contest. Another highlight is Kelvin Gastelum’s middleweight clash with Joe Pyfer, where Gastelum’s experience meets Pyfer’s devastating finishing ability.

The prelims showcase local talent and rising stars. Loopy Godinez fights Julia Polastri in a strawweight bout, with Godinez’s grappling likely to be the deciding factor. Ronaldo Rodriguez takes on Kevin Borjas in a flyweight battle, while MarQuel Mederos faces Austin Hubbard in a lightweight matchup.

With passionate fans and high-stakes matchups, UFC Mexico City is set to deliver thrilling action and unforgettable moments for MMA enthusiasts worldwide.

How to Watch UFC Mexico

• 🥊 UFC London: Brandon Moreno vs. Steve Erceg
• 📅 Date: Saturday, March 29, 2025
• 🕙 Time: 4:00 pm ET
• 🏟 Location: Arena CDMX | Mexico City, Mexico
• 📺 TV Channel: ESPN 2
• 📊 UFC Stats: Moreno 22-8-2 | Erceg 12-3
• 🎲 UFC Odds: Moreno (-245) | Erceg (+200)

UFC Mexico Predictions & Best Bets

• Ronaldo Rodriguez (-148) vs. Kevin Borjas
• MarQuel Mederos (-175) vs. Austin Hubbard
• Loopy Godinez (-238) vs. Julia Polastri

Ronaldo Rodriguez (-148) vs. Kevin Borjas

Ronaldo Rodriguez is poised to secure a victory over Kevin Borjas at UFC Mexico City this weekend, showcasing his superior grappling skills and well-rounded MMA game. Rodriguez’s wrestling prowess and submission threats give him a significant edge, as he can dictate where the fight takes place. His ability to control opponents on the ground and capitalize on submission opportunities will likely neutralize Borjas’ striking advantage.

Rodriguez’s recent performances, including a unanimous decision win over Ode Osbourne, demonstrate his ability to execute game plans effectively. His superior cardio and fight IQ allow him to adapt and maintain pressure throughout the bout. While Borjas possesses dangerous striking, landing 4.92 significant strikes per minute, his takedown defense of 61% may not be enough to keep the fight standing against Rodriguez’s relentless takedown attempts. With Rodriguez’s momentum and more diverse skill set, he should emerge victorious in this flyweight clash.

MarQuel Mederos (-175) vs. Austin Hubbard

MarQuel Mederos is primed to secure a victory over Austin Hubbard at UFC Mexico City this weekend, showcasing his superior striking and momentum. Mederos, undefeated in the UFC, brings a 9-1 professional record with six knockouts. His explosive power and precision striking, landing 4.39 significant strikes per minute with 45% accuracy, will pose a significant threat to Hubbard’s defense.

Hubbard’s inconsistent performances, alternating between wins and losses in his recent outings, contrast sharply with Mederos’ upward trajectory. Mederos’ ability to finish fights early, with three first-round finishes, could overwhelm Hubbard, who has shown vulnerability to submissions in the past. While Hubbard brings experience, Mederos’ youth, knockout power, and 91% takedown defense should neutralize Hubbard’s grappling attempts. Mederos’ momentum and finishing ability make him the favorite to emerge victorious in this lightweight clash.

Loopy Godinez (-238) vs. Julia Polastri

Loopy Godinez is set to outclass Julia Polastri at UFC Mexico City this weekend, leveraging her superior grappling and experience. Godinez’s impressive takedown average of 2.95 per 15 minutes, coupled with her 81% takedown defense, will be crucial against Polastri’s less developed ground game. While Polastri has shown promise with a 54% striking accuracy, Godinez’s defensive skills, absorbing fewer strikes per minute, will neutralize this threat.

Godinez’s experience edge, with 12 UFC fights compared to Polastri’s two, will be pivotal in a high-pressure environment. The elevation in Mexico City favors Godinez, who trains there regularly, potentially giving her a significant cardio advantage as the fight progresses. Despite Polastri’s recent win, Godinez’s well-rounded skill set, including her ability to control opponents on the ground and apply submission threats, makes her the favorite to secure a decisive victory in this strawweight clash.