UFC Vegas 105 Odds, Predictions, & Best Prop Bets

The UFC returns to the Apex in Las Vegas this Saturday, April 5, with UFC Vegas 105, headlined by a crucial featherweight clash between Josh Emmett and Lerone Murphy. This fight card promises action across multiple divisions, with rising contenders and seasoned veterans looking to make their mark.

Ready to get down to business 🤝@JoshEmmettUFC | @LeroneMurphy | #UFCVegas105 pic.twitter.com/6smUfMliPx

— UFC (@ufc) April 2, 2025

In the main event, #8-ranked Josh Emmett takes on #10-ranked Lerone Murphy in a bout with major implications for the featherweight division. Emmett, a former interim title challenger, is coming off a highlight-reel knockout of Bryce Mitchell in December 2023. Known for his explosive power and grit, Emmett is eager to prove he’s still a top contender after dealing with injuries and setbacks in recent years.

Murphy, on the other hand, enters the fight undefeated as a professional (15-0-1). The Englishman is a tactical striker who most recently outpointed Dan Ige in October 2024. A win over Emmett would solidify Murphy’s status as a legitimate threat in the division and potentially set him up for a top-five opponent next.

The co-main event features another featherweight bout between grappling ace Pat Sabatini and heavy-handed Joanderson Brito. This stylistic clash could deliver fireworks as both fighters aim to climb the rankings.

Additionally, middleweights Brad Tavares and Gerald Meerschaert square off in what promises to be a technical battle between two veterans. Heavyweights Kennedy Nzechukwu and Martin Buday also collide in what could be a slugfest.

With an exciting mix of prospects and established names, UFC Vegas 105 is shaping up to be an unmissable event for MMA fans.

How to Watch UFC Vegas 105

• 🥊 UFC Vegas 105: Josh Emmett vs. Lerone Murphy
• 📅 Date: Saturday, April 5, 2025
• 🕙 Time: 6:00 pm ET
• 🏟 Location: UFC Apex | Las Vegas, NV
• 📺 TV Channel: ESPN+
• 📊 UFC Stats: Emmett 19-4 | Murphy 15-0-1
• 🎲 UFC Odds: Emmett (+250) | Murphy  (-310)

UFC Vegas 105 Predictions & Best Bets

• Pat Sabatini (+190) vs. Joanderson Brito
• Daniel Frunza (-155) vs. Rhys McKee
• Daniel Santos (-148) vs. Davey Grant

Pat Sabatini (+190) vs. Joanderson Brito

Pat Sabatini’s grappling expertise and strategic approach give him a strong edge over Joanderson Brito in their UFC Vegas 105 co-main event clash. Sabatini, a Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu black belt, has demonstrated his ability to dominate opponents on the ground, as seen in his first-round submission victory over Jonathan Pearce last October. His relentless forward pressure and ability to control opponents in top position make him a nightmare matchup for fighters who rely heavily on striking. Brito, while powerful and aggressive, has shown vulnerabilities when facing elite wrestlers, which Sabatini can exploit by neutralizing Brito’s striking with takedowns and positional control.

Additionally, Sabatini’s refined mindset and focus on staying present during fights have elevated his performances. He approaches every opponent as if he is the bad matchup for them, which could be pivotal against Brito’s high-paced style. While Brito boasts knockout power and athleticism, his tendency to absorb strikes and struggle against grappling specialists may leave openings for Sabatini to secure another submission victory. With Sabatini’s superior wrestling and submission skills, expect him to dictate the pace of the fight and capitalize on Brito’s defensive lapses to emerge victorious.

Daniel Frunza (-155) vs. Rhys McKee

Daniel Frunza is poised to defeat Rhys McKee at UFC Vegas 105, thanks to his explosive striking and ability to capitalize on defensive gaps. Frunza has demonstrated exceptional knockout power, finishing seven of his nine wins by KO/TKO. His recent victory over Vadym Kutsyi on Dana White’s Contender Series showcased his precise striking and ability to overwhelm opponents with ground-and-pound. While McKee has a reach advantage and a high striking output, his defensive vulnerabilities—absorbing 7.85 significant strikes per minute—make him susceptible to Frunza’s aggressive style. Frunza’s ability to defend against 51% of strikes aimed at him also suggests he can minimize McKee’s offensive effectiveness while landing heavy counters.

Additionally, Frunza’s momentum contrasts sharply with McKee’s struggles in the UFC. McKee has lost four of his last six fights, including a split decision against Chidi Njokuani and a unanimous decision against Ange Loosa. While McKee is dangerous early with ten career knockouts, Frunza’s durability and versatility give him the edge in extended exchanges. Expect Frunza to pressure McKee early, exploit his defensive lapses, and secure a finish via strikes or ground control to continue his rise in the welterweight division.

Daniel Santos (-148) vs. Davey Grant

Daniel Santos has the tools to secure a victory over Davey Grant at UFC Vegas 105, thanks to his relentless pace and dynamic striking. Santos has shown an ability to overwhelm opponents with volume, as evidenced by his dominant performance against Johnny Munoz, where he landed 134 strikes and controlled the fight with takedowns and pressure. His aggressive style could be particularly effective against Grant, who has struggled with faster, more explosive opponents in recent years. Santos’ ability to mix striking with grappling will likely keep Grant on the back foot, limiting his opportunities to land his trademark power shots.

While Davey Grant is a dangerous finisher with knockout power and a strong submission game, his recent inconsistency raises concerns. He has lost two of his last three fights, including a split decision to Daniel Marcos where he struggled to impose his game plan. Santos’ pace and ability to absorb damage (5.12 strikes per minute) suggest he can weather Grant’s early aggression and take control as the fight progresses. Expect Santos to use his versatility to dictate the fight’s rhythm and earn a hard-fought decision or late stoppage victory over the seasoned Englishman.