Wednesday, July 2, top MLB player props target Rafael Devers’ bounce-back against Arizona and Aaron Judge’s power bat against Jose Berrios.
As we move deeper into the MLB season, player props continue to offer sharp value in the betting market, especially when the league’s biggest names are in prime spots to produce. Wednesday’s best plays focus on a pair of elite hitters: Rafael Devers, who’s due for a breakout game, and Aaron Judge, who’s been mashing of late and draws a familiar foe in Jose Berrios.
Let’s break down the top MLB player props for Wednesday, July 3.
Rafael Devers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI (-110)
Matchup: Giants at Diamondbacks
Time: 9:40 p.m. ET
While Devers’ overall 2024 numbers have taken a dip, don’t let the recent slump fool you — the underlying stats remain elite, especially against right-handed pitching.
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Devers owns a .380 wOBA, .261 ISO, and .908 OPS against righties dating back to the start of the 2023 season.
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He’s currently in an 8-for-43 rut, but that dry spell includes a .658 OPS and very little luck at the plate.
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Merrill Kelly’s 45.1% hard-hit rate makes him a vulnerable matchup for a power-hitter like Devers, especially at hitter-friendly Chase Field.
This is a textbook bounce-back spot. The Giants’ DH still makes quality contact, and our projections love his chances to log multiple contributions on the box score, whether through a hit, RBI, or run scored. With this prop sitting at just 1.5 combined, the value is simply too good to pass up.
Rafael Devers since joining the Giants:
.200 AVG, .670 OPS, 10 H, 21 K over 13 games
Small sample, but Raffy is struggling pic.twitter.com/gB6kiiArzt
— Jake “Iggy” Ignaszewski (@JakeIggy) July 1, 2025
Aaron Judge to Hit a Home Run (+215)
Matchup: Yankees at Blue Jays
Time: 7:07 p.m. ET
Where to Watch: YES Network, Sportsnet
Aaron Judge didn’t leave the yard in Tuesday’s game, but he still reached base five times, going 2-for-2 with three walks and a double. The slugger is locked in, and Wednesday presents another strong opportunity to do damage.
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Judge has owned Blue Jays starter Jose Berrios, going 14-for-37 (.378) with five home runs in his career.
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He’s already homered against Toronto once this season and has hit two bombs in his last three games overall.
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Of Judge’s 30 home runs this year, 20 have come against right-handers, and 15 have been hit on the road.
Everything about this matchup screams upside. Berrios has been solid this season but is prone to giving up loud contact, and Judge’s ability to punish righties — particularly pitchers he knows well — makes this a premium power spot.
At +215, this price offers solid value for a player with MVP-level production and a proven history against the opposing starter.
Aaron Judge’s incredible season continues:
.356 AVG
30 HR
67 RBI
1.180 OPS pic.twitter.com/3GGO5XNztk— MLB (@MLB) June 29, 2025
✅ Wednesday’s Best MLB Player Prop Picks Recap
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Rafael Devers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI (-110)
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Aaron Judge to Hit a Home Run (+215)
When betting on player props, it’s often about timing, and both of these stars are positioned for big days. Judge is seeing the ball well and faces a pitcher he’s dominated. Devers may be in a slump, but the numbers suggest he’s poised for a bounce-back, especially against a hittable arm in Arizona.
Lock in both props early, as these lines could move before first pitch.
