Spain vs Portugal and USA vs Belgium headline the World Cup 2026 Round of 16 slate on July 6, with Spain priced as clear favorites and the Seattle clash rated a genuine toss-up.
The betting markets have spoken clearly on both fixtures. Spain remain the tournament’s most compelling defensive story, while USA vs Belgium rewards a more cautious, value-driven approach.
World Cup 2026 Predictions Today – July 6
These two fixtures offer contrasting betting profiles. Spain vs Portugal is a heavyweight clash where the under continues to look strong. USA vs Belgium is tight enough that the draw carries real appeal.
- Spain Moneyline: -145 – Spain remain the tournament’s only unbeaten team yet to concede a single goal
- Spain vs Portugal Under 2.5 Goals: -115 – elite knockout defenses trend low-scoring, and Spain’s backline backs that up
- USA vs Belgium Draw: +250 – a tightly matched tie missing USA’s suspended top scorer points toward a cagey finish
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Spain vs Portugal Betting, Odds & Best Bet
Spain reached this stage by beating Austria 3-0 in the Round of 32, extending a run that has yet to see them concede.
Lamine Yamal is only just approaching full fitness, yet Spain remain over halfway through the tournament without conceding a single goal.
Portugal advanced past Croatia 2-1 in a tighter contest, and their defense has looked less assured than Spain’s throughout the knockout stage.
This all-Iberian tie is loaded with quality, but the Spain vs Portugal odds reflect a genuine gap in defensive solidity.
| Market | Spain vs Portugal |
|---|---|
| Spain Win | -145 |
| Draw (90 mins) | +260 |
| Portugal Win | +380 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | -115 |
| Spain Win to Nil | +160 |
Best bet: Spain Moneyline at -145 – Spain’s clean-sheet run at this World Cup remains unmatched, and Portugal have not shown enough going forward to change that trend.
Second bet: Under 2.5 Goals at -115 – Two defensively sound sides meeting in a win-or-go-home tie points toward a cagier, lower scoring contest.
USA vs Belgium Odds, Betting & Best Bet
The USA beat Bosnia and Herzegovina 2-0 in the Round of 32, controlling that match from start to finish under Mauricio Pochettino.
A significant blow lands before kickoff, though, as suspended top scorer Folarin Balogun misses this tie through suspension after a needless red card.
Belgium survived a dramatic penalty shootout against Senegal, advancing 3-2 after extra time failed to separate the sides in regulation.
The USA vs Belgium odds reflect a fixture that could easily go the distance, with home support offering the Americans a genuine boost.
| Market | USA vs Belgium |
|---|---|
| USA Win | +320 |
| Draw (90 mins) | +250 |
| Belgium Win | -130 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | +105 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | -135 |
Best bet: Draw at +250 – Balogun’s return strengthens the USA’s cutting edge, while Belgium’s shootout win suggests a side still finding its rhythm.
Both factors point toward a tense, tightly contested finish that suits the draw price.
