After opening the NASCAR Cup Series campaign with three wins in 10 starts, Kyle Larson is attempting to shed off a slump that stretches back to his attempt to pull off “The Double” on May 25. Things didn’t go well, capped by P37 during the Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte Motor Speedway.
Over his past eight outings, Larson posted a 19.8 average finish. In the season’s opening 12 events, his average finish was 9.8.
After consecutive road-course races, the series switches to Dover Motor Speedway, a one-mile oval.
A dirt-track specialist, Larson views “The Monster Mile” as a venue he can shake the skid. He posted five top-six finishes in his past six starts, including a P2 in 2024.
Larson, whose all-time average finish of 8.2 at the one-mile oval ranks second only to David Pearson (8.0), remains the circuit’s odds-on favorite to capture the circuit championship, according to BetOnline Sportsbook.
Despite his recent slide, Larson drew +350 odds to claim his first circuit title since 2021.
Dating back to September 2010, at least one Hendrick Motorsports driver earned a top-10 finish at Dover.
Kyle Larson's Mother is clutch when it comes to posting photos of him next to racing legends during his childhood. https://t.co/fm5AWqf4hN
— tjslideways.com (@tjslideways) July 15, 2025
2025 NASCAR Cup Series Drivers’ Championship Odds
Here is a Week 21 look at the drivers’ odds for the 2025 NASCAR Cup Series drivers’ championship, according to BetOnline Sportsbook:
| Driver | 2025 NASCAR Cup Series Championship Odds |
|---|---|
| Kyle Larson | +350 |
| Christopher Bell | +550 |
| Denny Hamlin | +600 |
| Ryan Blaney | +600 |
| William Byron | +700 |
| Chase Elliott | +800 |
| Tyler Reddick | +1200 |
| Joey Logano | +1200 |
| Chase Briscoe | +1800 |
| Ross Chastain | +2000 |
| Alex Bowman | +2500 |
| Shane van Gisbergen | +2500 |
| Josh Berry | +3500 |
| Austin Cindric | +3500 |
| Carson Hocevar | +4000 |
| Chris Buescher | +4000 |
| Bubba Wallace | +4500 |
| Ty Gibbs | +5000 |
| Kyle Busch | +5000 |
| Brad Keselowski | +7500 |
| Ryan Preece | +12500 |
| Austin Dillon | +25000 |
| Daniel Suarez | +25000 |
| AJ Allmendinger | +25000 |
| Erik Jones | +30000 |
| Noah Gragson | +30000 |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | +30000 |
| Michael McDowell | +30000 |
| Zane Smith | +50000 |
| Justin Haley | +50000 |
| Todd Gilliland | +50000 |
| John Hunter Nemechek | +50000 |
| Cole Custer | +50000 |
| Ty Dillon | +50000 |
*-Odds current at time of publication