Cameron Young at 18/1 headlines the US Open 2026 betting board – and the value case at Shinnecock Hills is impossible to ignore. Scottie Scheffler sits as the 4/1 favorite, chasing a career Grand Slam on his 30th birthday, but the deepest US Open field in years makes this a market worth spreading across multiple plays.
These are the US Open predictions and US Open betting picks that move the needle for bettors this week.
Where to Bet on US Open with Sportsbook Promos
| Sportsbook | Welcome Bonus | Claim Offer |
|---|---|---|
 |
125% Welcome Bonus Up To $1,250 | Bet Now |
 |
50% Up To $250 In Free Bonuses | Bet Now |
 |
$250 Welcome Bonus | Bet Now |
 |
100% Welcome Bonus Up To $2,500 | Bet Now |
 |
$1,000 Sign-Up Bonus | Bet Now |
 |
Welcome Bonus of $200 With Credit Card | Bet Now |
US Open Odds Table: Shinnecock Hills 2026
| Player | Odds (DraftKings) | Implied Probability |
| Scottie Scheffler | +400 | ~13% |
| Rory McIlroy | +700 | ~9.6% |
| Bryson DeChambeau | +1600 | ~5.9% |
| Cameron Young | +1800 | ~5.3% |
| Xander Schauffele | +1800 | ~5.3% |
| Matt Fitzpatrick | +2000 | ~4.8% |
| Tommy Fleetwood | +2500 | ~3.8% |
| Brooks Koepka | +2800 | ~3.4% |
| Patrick Reed | +3000 | ~3.2% |
| Justin Rose | +3500 | ~2.8% |
| Chris Gotterup | +4000 | ~2.4% |
| Robert MacIntyre | +5000 | ~2.0% |
The Favorite: Scheffler’s Grand Slam Moment
Scottie Scheffler is attempting something historic at Shinnecock Hills – a win here would complete the career Grand Slam and make him only the seventh player ever to achieve it, joining Gene Sarazen, Ben Hogan, Gary Player, Jack Nicklaus, Tiger Woods, and Rory McIlroy.
Sunday also happens to be Scheffler’s 30th birthday, which is either a storybook script or a narrative burden – markets are pricing it as the former.
The case for backing him at 4/1 is real. Six top-four finishes in his last 11 PGA Tour starts, including three runners-up, paint a picture of a player who contends every week.
The counterargument is also real – 4/1 in a 156-player field at one of the most punishing layouts in golf leaves almost no margin for error. The probability here sits closer to 60/40 in favor of fading the short price and finding value elsewhere on the board.
US Open Best Bets: Cameron Young and the Value Tier
Cameron Young is the top-ranked US Open best bet at 18/1, and the logic is clean. Yahoo Sports analyst Alex Myers called Young “arguably the guy who has been the best player on the planet the past 10 months playing a major championship in his home state at 18-to-1 odds.”
Shinnecock Hills plays as a par 70 at roughly 7,440 yards, a second-shot layout where placement beats power. That suits Young’s precision game. The only legitimate concern is added pressure from playing in front of a New York crowd – but that is a thin reason to pass on 18/1 value.
Xander Schauffele at the same 18/1 price is the floor-raising bet in this field. Nine consecutive top-15 finishes at the US Open, seven of which are top-10s, makes him one of the most reliable tournament-week presences in golf.
Bettors who want a live ticket on Sunday without sweating a miracle should be looking at Schauffele’s top-10 market as a primary play.
Matt Fitzpatrick at 20/1 is being underestimated. The former US Open champion won three of four PGA Tour starts between the Masters and the PGA Championship in 2026 – a run that seems to have slipped under the radar.
Shinnecock Hills is a precision driving and iron play course; Fitzpatrick’s profile fits it almost exactly. The 20/1 price reflects a market that has not fully updated on his recent form.
For the full breakdown of golf betting odds and course analysis heading into the week, the US Open 2026 odds and favorites preview at Shinnecock Hills covers the contender tiers in depth.
Rory McIlroy and the Storyline Price
Rory McIlroy at 7/1 is the most layered bet on the board. He won the Masters in 2026, went into Aronimink cold and shot an opening 74, then cooked the rest of the week to finish T-7 – that recovery is a data point, not a footnote. A 15-year US Open drought creates genuine narrative pressure, but McIlroy’s ball-striking profile translates directly to a wind-exposed Shinnecock setup.
The US Open predictions consensus across CBS Sports and ESPN’s rankings places McIlroy firmly in the top tier behind Scheffler. The 7/1 price is fair, not generous – but a top-10 wager at that number is defensible given his Shinnecock track record and 2026 major form.
Patrick Reed Sleeper Pick at 30/1
The Patrick Reed sleeper case at 30/1 is built on two things: Shinnecock pedigree and 2026 major consistency. Reed finished solo fourth at this exact course in 2018 and has posted T-12 and T-10 at the first two majors of the current season despite playing a reduced schedule. That is not a coincidence – it is a player who saves himself for the biggest stages.
If the driver tightens, the 30/1 price looks very wrong.
Fading the Obvious: Koepka and DeChambeau
Brooks Koepka has won at Shinnecock and owns two US Open titles – the 28/1 price seems like easy money until the putter data surfaces. His putting metrics in 2026 are bad enough that analysts have noted he would benefit from external assistance just to get them mediocre. Course history matters, but a player who cannot convert on the greens at Shinnecock’s speed will not contend.
Bryson DeChambeau at 16/1 is the tightest price in the value tier, and the skepticism is warranted. Two US Open titles give him credentials; a recent 65 on LIV shows the ball-striking is functional.
The swing mechanics questions circulating ahead of the week, however, are genuine – Shinnecock’s wind punishes even minor technical inconsistencies. The 16/1 number prices in more certainty than the current evidence supports.
For the latest US Open 2026 betting analysis and odds updates from Shinnecock Hills, keep it locked to Sportscasting.
