2024 USA Women’s Gymnastics Team Odds: Who Will Make The Squad?

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Simone Biles of World Champions Centre poses for a photo with her gold medal.

The U.S. women’s gymnastics team at the Olympics is widely regarded as one of the toughest teams to make in all sports.

Some say making Team USA is harder than winning a medal at the Olympics.

15 women will compete for five spots at the U.S. Olympic Gymnastics Trials in Minneapolis from June 27–30. At the end of the trials, five women will be selected to represent Team USA at the 2024 Summer Olympics.

The Russian athletes competing under the Russian Olympic Committee (ROC) banner are the defending goal medalists in the Olympic team competition. The United States won the silver, and Great Britain won the bronze. has gathered and analyzed the odds for the 2024 USA Women’s Gymnastics Team.

Key Highlights:

  • Simone Biles (99%) & Shilese Jones (95%) are virtual locks to make Team USA Gymnastics
  • Skye Blakely, who had a 38% chance to make Team USA, is out of the trials with an injury.
  • Jordan Chiles (50%), Leanne Wong (29%), & Kailya Lincoln (25%) find themselves on the outside looking in, according to oddsmakers

Proposed Team USA Women’s Gymnastics Squad:

  1. Simone Biles (99%)
  2. Shilese Jones (95%)
  3. Suni Lee (78%)
  4. Kayla DiCello (75%)
  5. Jade Carey (73%)

2024 USA Women’s Gymnastics Team Odds

Gymnast Odds Implied Probability
Simone Biles -10000 99%
Shilese Jones -2000 95.24%
Suni Lee -350 77.78%
Kayla DiCello -300 75%
Jade Carey -275 73.33%
Jordan Chiles +100 50%
Leanne Wong +250 28.57%
Kaliya Lincoln +300 25%
Joscelyn Roberson +900 10%
Tiana Sumanasekera +1200 7.69%
Hezly Rivera +1400 6.67%
Dulcy Caylor +2000 4.76%
Evelyn Lowe +2000 4.76%
Simone Rose +2000 4.76%
Zoey Molomo +2000 4.76%

2024 USA Women’s Gymnastics Trials Head To Minneapolis


Simone Biles, Shilese Jones Massive Favorites To Make Team USA

Simone Biles (-10000) is the surest thing to lock. Biles is a seven-time Olympic medalist and a 30-time World Championship medalist. Should Biles make Team USA, she will join Muriel Grossfeld, Linda Metheny, and Dominique Dawes as the only American women to compete in three Olympic Games.

Shilese Jones (-2000) is considered Biles’s toughest competition to be the top gymnast on the team. A six-time World medalist, Jones is attempting to qualify for her first Olympic games.

Suni Lee (-350) heads into Minneapolis as the hometown hero and sentimental favorite. One year ago, Lee was battling a rare kidney condition that forced her to miss several competitions. However, Lee is rounding into form and will look to make the Olympics and defend her gold medal in the all-around competition.

Update: June 27 at 2:00 p.m.

Skye Blakely (+160) will not compete at the trials due to an Achilles injury suffered on Wednesday.