Martin Green of CBS Sports is riding an 18-8 run on his last 26 UCL picks and has locked in his Norway vs Senegal prediction for Monday’s Group I showdown.
His primary lean is Over 2.5 goals, priced at -101 at BetOnline. Norway has scored eight goals across their last three matches, and Erling Haaland is the engine behind all of it.
CBS Sports’ Norway vs. Senegal Predictions, Best Bets
- Over 2.5 Goals In Norway vs Sengal
- Norway Moneyline at +135
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Green has been profitable across multiple soccer markets, including the Champions League (+211.25) and Bundesliga (+100) last year. His nearly $1,000 in profit from his recent UCL run makes his 2026 World Cup picks worth tracking closely. The Over 2.5 goals angle is the centerpiece of his Norway vs Senegal analysi
CBS Sports Norway vs. Senegal Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals
Green built his case around Norway’s relentless attacking output and Haaland’s superhuman conversion rate at international level. The numbers are not subtle. Haaland has scored 57 goals in just 51 games for the national team.
This is not a team that grinds out 1-0 wins. Norway scored three goals against Sweden in a June 1 friendly before dropping four on Iraq in their World Cup opener. They won all 10 qualifying matches, beating Italy 3-0 at home and 4-1 away. That qualifier form is the clearest signal that Norway attacks without mercy regardless of opponent quality.
Senegal is not without goal-scoring capability either. Nicolas Jackson has eight goals in 34 career appearances for the national team and adds a consistent threat up front. The Lions beat Peru 2-0 and Gambia 3-1 in recent friendlies. Their attack functions. Their defense, however, just allowed three goals to France.
The Over 2.5 total is priced at -101 at BetOnline. That implies roughly a 50% probability.
Given Norway’s eight-goal three-game run and Senegal’s defensive vulnerabilities, that number is short. Multiple analysts have converged on the same Over angle for this fixture, which strengthens the case for Green’s primary pick.
For additional expert perspectives on this matchup, the Sports Illustrated Norway vs. Senegal breakdown also leans into the goals market from a different analytical entry point.
CBS Sports Norway vs. Senegal Best Bets: Norway Moneyline and the Goal Machine Case
Norway is listed at +135 on the moneyline at BetOnline. That price makes them slight underdogs despite entering the match with better recent form. Senegal holds the superior FIFA ranking at No. 17 versus Norway‘s No. 26. Rankings, though, do not score goals.
Norway has not advanced from the group stage since 1998. That drought ends or extends here. With Haaland in peak form and a team averaging well over three goals per game across their recent run, the +135 moneyline carries legitimate value for a side that just beat Iraq by three.
Senegal, meanwhile, faces the pressure of a team that knows a second loss likely ends their tournament aspirations early.
Win probability models give Norway approximately a 43% chance to win outright, with Senegal at 31% and a draw at around 25%.
That model spread, combined with Norway‘s recent output, supports both the moneyline and the Over as complementary plays.
Bettors who want a fuller breakdown of player props and same-game parlay builds for this fixture can find the detailed options in this Norway vs. Senegal same game parlay and player props guide.
- Primary Best Bet: Over 2.5 Goals at -101 (BetOnline)
- Secondary Play: Norway Moneyline at +135 (BetOnline)
- Green’s UCL Record: 18-8 over last 26 picks
- Haaland International Record: 57 goals in 51 Norway appearances
- Norway Last 3 Games: 8 goals scored
- Senegal Opener: Lost 3-1 to France
Martin Green at CBS Sports has earned his track record the hard way, and his lean on the Over in this fixture is backed by genuine attacking evidence. Norway‘s goal machine does not slow down for must-win opponents. The Over 2.5 goals at -101 is the Norway Senegal best bet in this matchup. A supercomputer-driven take on the same fixture is available in this Norway vs. Senegal supercomputer picks and odds breakdown.
