Golf

Mexico Open 2025 Odds, Expert Picks and Best Bets

Gia Nguyen Sports Editor

Published18 Feb 2025

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The West Coast Swing is officially over after an exciting finish at the Genesis Invitational last week. The PGA Tour makes a detour to Vidanta Vallarta for the 2025 Mexico Open this week before beginning the Florida Swing.

Many of the top PGA Tour players decide to sit this event out to prepare for the bigger events in Florida, which opens up the field to long shots. The field is highlighted by Akshay Bhatia, who is the current favorite at +1400 odds. The top five is rounded out with Rasmus Hojgaard (+1800), Kurt Kitayama (+2200), Patrick Rodgers (+2200), and Stephan Jaeger (+2200).

With a full field and only two players in the top 40 on the Official World Golf Rankings, everyone in the field has a shot at the $7 million purse in Vidanta Vallarta this weekend.

Scroll below to get the best 2025 Mexico Open odds, expert picks, and best bets.

Mexico Open 2025 Odds

Earlier this week, the highest-ranked player, Maverick McNealy, withdrew from the field. Now, the Mexico Open features only two top-40 players, with No.29 Aaron Rai and No.30 Akshay Bhatia. Despite the missing star power, it’s a good weekend for bettors as there are many up-and-coming stars in the field. In addition, the long shots are even more favorable in Mexico this weekend.

There are other interesting storylines to follow heading into Mexico as U.S. Amateur Champion Josele Ballester makes his second start in three weeks on a sponsor exemption, along with 17-year-old Blades Brown, who is listed in the field making his second start as a pro.

The field is highlighted by Akshay Bhatia, who is the clear favorite in Mexico at +1400 odds. He’s followed by Rasmus Hojgaard (+1800), Kurt Kitayama (+2200), Patrick Rodgers (+2200), and Stephan Jaeger (+2200), rounding out the top five.

Here are the Mexico Open 2025 odds for the top 50 players on the board.

Player	Odds
Akshay Bhatia	+1400
Rasmus Hojgaard	+1800
Kurt Kitayama	+2200
Patrick Rodgers	+2200
Stephan Jaeger	+2200
Sam Stevens	+2500
Taylor Moore	+2500
Jake Knapp	+2500
Michael Kim	+2800
Beau Hossler	+3000
Aaron Rai	+3300
Alex Smalley	+3300
Harry Hall	+3500
Ben Griffin	+3500
Kevin Yu	+3500
Nicolai Hojgaard	+4500
Erik Van Rooyen	+4500
Justin Lower	+5000
Michael Thorbjornsen	+5000
Matt Wallace	+6000
C.T. Pan	+6500
Joe Highsmith	+6500
Aldrich Potgieter	+6500
Jesper Svensson	+7000
Carson Young	+7000
Patrick Fishburn	+7500
Ryan Fox	+7500
Mac Meissner	+7500
Antoine Rozner	+7500
Greyson Sigg	+8000
Ryan Gerard	+8000
Charley Hoffman	+8000
Jacob Bridgeman	+8000
Rico Hoey	+8000
Kristoffer Ventura	+8000
Christopher Gotterup	+9000
Trey Mullinax	+9000
Andrew Putnam	+10000
Adam Svensson	+10000
Chan Kim	+10000
Vincent Norman	+10000
Victor Perez	+11000
Lanto Griffin	+11000
Frankie Capan III	+11000
Ricky Castillo	+11000
Will Gordon	+11000
Sam Ryder	+12500
Ben Silverman	+12500
Emiliano Grillo	+12500
Takumi Kanaya	12500

Note: Mexico Open odds are accurate as of Feb. 18, 2025

Mexico Open 2025 Predictions

Here are our Mexico Open 2025 predictions and the best bets to win the tournament.

Patrick Rodgers (+2200)
Alex Smalley (+3300)
Patrick Fishburn (+7500)

Patrick Rodgers (+2200)

At +2200, Patrick Rodgers is considered one of the favorites this weekend in Mexico. He’s coming off a hot hand at the Genesis Invitational, where he finished T3. He’s always played well at the Mexico Championship, racking up three top 10s in just three starts. Against a weaker field, it’s easy to see Rodgers come away with this one.

Alex Smalley (+3300)

Alex Smalley has had an excellent start to the season, with three top-21 finishes in his last four starts. He finished T16 at the Sony Open and 11th at the American Express. He successfully gained strokes in four major categories in both events.

He has a history of performing well at resort courses. Smalley has played well at the Mexico Open before, with his best finish recording at a T6 in 2022. In addition, he has two top-6s at teh Corales Puntacana Championship. He’s geared up for another good week, it wouldn’t be a surprise to see this longshot win it all in Vidanta Vallarta.

Patrick Fishburn (+7500)

A longshot for the weekend, Patrick Fishburn’s game pairs well with Vidanta. He has the ability to hit the ball well of the tee which will be key in Mexico. In addition, Fishburn has shown that he’s able to gain strokes on the green. After a strong finish at the Sony Open in Hawaii, Fishburn might be looking at his first win on the Tour in Mexico.