NFL Regular-Season MVP Odds: Matthew Stafford Pacing Week 11 Field; Drake Maye Surging

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NFL Regular-Season MVP Odds: Matthew Stafford Pacing Week 11 Field; Drake Maye Surging

Former NFL coach Jon Gruden has been proven correct. 

Gruden viewed New England Patriots rookie Drake Maye differently than most talking heads last season. As a rookie, Maye directed the Patriots to just three wins in their opening 10 outings. The 2024 third-overall draft pick drew criticism for indecisive play.

Gruden saw something different. He saw a budding “superstar,” as reported by NBC Boston. 

Fast forward nearly one year and Maye has developed into one of the league’s top performers. The Patriots (8-2), who are 5-0 on the road, lead the AFC East and rank as the conference’s No. 3 club. 

Maye is a major reason the Patriots’ rebuilding project has hit overdrive. The Huntersville, N.C., native ranks No. 2 in completion percentage, according to Next Gen Stats. 

Maye overcame a rough start last Sunday to lead the Patriots to a 28-23 victory over the host Tampa Bay Buccaneers by hitting Kyle Williams for a momentum-turning 74-yard touchdown. He finished a season-worst 16-for-31, but still compiled 270 passing yards and two scores. 

Maye displayed why he is playing his way into the 2025 NFL regular-season MVP conversation. BetOnline Sportsbook listed Maye (+325) with the second-best odds. Los Angeles Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford (+300) remains the Week 11 favorite. 

The Patriots host the New York Jets (2-7) at Gillette Stadium on Thursday night.

One season after predicting Maye would be a “superstar,” Gruden remained “impressed” after watching him struggle, yet still pull out the road win against one of the NFC’s top clubs in unfavorable conditions. 

“To be honest with you, I was really eager to see Drake Maye play and, man, was I impressed,” Gruden said on “The Quick Snap” podcast. “I said, ‘This guy has got the it factor.’ ” 

2025 NFL Regular-Season MVP Odds

Here is a Week 11 look at the NFL’s winning odds for the 2025 regular-season MVP honor, according to BetOnline Sportsbook:

Player 2025 NFL Regular-Season MVP Odds
Matthew Stafford +300
Drake Maye +325
Jonathan Taylor +350
Patrick Mahomes +650
Josh Allen +800
Sam Darnold +850
Lamar Jackson +2000
Jalen Hurts +2200
Jared Goff +2200
Justin Herbert +2800
 Baker Mayfield +2800
Jordan Love +5000
Daniel Jones +5000
Bo Nix +10000
Jaxon Smith-Njigba +10000

*-Odds current at time of publication