The USMNT open their 2026 FIFA World Cup campaign against Paraguay in a Group D opener at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, California on Friday, June 12, with kickoff at 6:00 p.m. local time (9:00 p.m. ET).
Dutch referee Danny Makkelie will take charge, with VAR support from Spain’s Carlos del Cerro Grande.
This is the first World Cup game on home soil for the United States since 1994, and the stakes could not be higher for a golden generation core that has been building toward this moment.
Paraguay return to the World Cup for the first time since 2010, arriving as dangerous underdogs with genuine defensive resolve.
USA are priced at around -110 to win, with the draw at +250 and Paraguay at +340 on Lucky Rebel. We have put together our best same game parlay and player props picks for this one. All odds are from Lucky Rebel.
USA vs Paraguay Player Props Picks
Player props are where the real value lies in this match. Here are our top picks for June 12.
Folarin Balogun Anytime Goalscorer
Folarin Balogun is the confirmed starter at center forward for the USMNT and the focal point of Mauricio Pochettino’s attack.
The dual-national striker chose the US over England in 2023 and has delivered consistently since his debut, building on strong Ligue 1 form to become the team’s primary penalty-box threat.
With Christian Pulisic creating from wide and midfield runners arriving late, Balogun will get chances inside the box.
He is the most direct scoring option on the pitch for the hosts and the likeliest name on the scoresheet.
At the available price on Lucky Rebel, Balogun anytime goalscorer is our top player prop pick for this game.
Christian Pulisic Goal or Assist
Christian Pulisic captains the USMNT and runs the show in the final third. He takes set pieces, drives at defenders, and is involved in virtually every dangerous USA attacking move across 90 minutes.
The goal or assist market captures his full attacking output rather than limiting the bet to a pure scoring line.
Against a deep Paraguay block, Pulisic will test the keeper and create for teammates throughout.
Our supercomputer USA vs Paraguay predictions put his anytime goal probability at 32%, making the broader goal or assist line strong value.
At the available price on Lucky Rebel, Pulisic goal or assist is a high-probability prop that deserves a place on your bet slip.
Antonio Sanabria Anytime Goalscorer
Antonio Sanabria leads the line for Paraguay and is their most credible scoring threat in this game.
With Julio Enciso listed as a doubt due to a muscle injury picked up in a friendly against Nicaragua, Sanabria carries even more responsibility going forward.
Paraguay have gone over 2.5 goals in five of their last seven matches, showing they are capable of finding the net against quality opposition.
Sanabria is their focal point and the player most likely to punish any defensive lapse from the USMNT.
At the long-shot odds available on Lucky Rebel, adding Sanabria as a bonus leg to your parlay could significantly boost your potential payout.
USA vs Paraguay Same Game Parlay Picks
Here is our recommended same game parlay for USA vs Paraguay on Lucky Rebel.
Leg 1: USA to Win (-110)
The structural case for a USA win is strong. Home crowd, superior squad depth, and a head-to-head record that shows the US have never lost to Paraguay in four previous meetings all point in one direction.
Host nations in World Cup openers are 17-6-1 all-time. SoFi Stadium will be electric and firmly behind the USMNT from the first whistle.
Anything other than a USA win would be a significant upset.
Leg 2: Folarin Balogun Anytime Goalscorer (+225)
Balogun is the confirmed starter and the primary target in the box for the hosts.
Pulisic will supply the creativity and Balogun will supply the finishing. He is the likeliest scorer on the pitch and the best value prop on the board at Lucky Rebel.
Leg 3: Under 2.5 Goals (-130)
Paraguay will set up in a deep, disciplined shape and are not a high-scoring side on the road. The USMNT are expected to control possession and manage the game rather than chase a cricket score in a high-stakes opener.
The probability of under 2.5 goals sits at approximately 59% based on pre-tournament modelling, and a 1-0 or 2-0 win for the hosts is the most commonly projected scoreline. The controlled nature of the expected performance makes the under the right side of the total at -130 on Lucky Rebel.
Leg 4: Christian Pulisic to Register a Shot on Target (-162)
Pulisic starts in his natural attacking role and will be USA’s most creative and dangerous player across 90 minutes.
He takes set pieces, drives into the penalty area, and generates shooting opportunities consistently at international level.
Against a packed Paraguay defense, he will get multiple looks at goal. A shot on target is one of the most bankable outcomes in this game.
Build this parlay on Lucky Rebel using the same game parlay tool and check your combined odds before confirming your bet slip.
USA vs Paraguay Same Game Parlay and Player Props Picks
A 1-0 or 2-0 win for the USA is the most likely outcome here. The USMNT have the quality, the home advantage, and the motivation to deliver a controlled Group D opener.
The core of our approach is USA to win, Balogun to score, and under 2.5 goals.
Pulisic registering a shot on target rounds out the same game parlay as a fourth leg with realistic probability.
SoFi Stadium holds over 70,000 for soccer and will be as loud as any World Cup venue on June 12.
Paraguay are a disciplined, dangerous underdog – but the USMNT have too much quality at home to let this one slip.
For full match details including how to watch, check our USA vs Paraguay live stream and TV channel guide.
For more World Cup betting coverage built on the same framework, see our Mexico vs South Africa same game parlay picks.
Back USA to win and keep it tight.
