Punchestown Festival Trends 2025 - Stats For The Main Races

The UK jump racing action might have stopped, but the good news is there is still plenty going on this week in Ireland with the five-day 2025 Punchestown Festival running from Tuesday to Saturday. With that in mind, we’ve compiled the best of the Punchestown Festival trends to use for the main races this week – including the Punchestown Gold Cup, Champion Chase and Champion Hurdles.

You can also relive the 2024 winners for the key races at this week below – and with a certain Willie Mullins having remarkable records in most we can expect a stack more winners for the recently crowned champion British horse racing jump trainer.

Punchestown Festival Trends DAY ONE – Tuesday 29th April 2025

4:15pm – KPMG Champion Novice Hurdle (Grade 1) (5yo+) 2m 1/2f

11 of the last 19 runnings went to the favourite
12 of the last 18 winners had won a Grade 1 or 2 before
16 of the last 19 recent winners were priced 8/1 or shorter
11 of the last 19 returned 2/1 or shorter in the betting
No British-trained winner for 24 years (18 runners)
Supreme Novice Hurdle winners have only followed-up 4 times
17 of the last 18 were aged either 5 or 6 years-old
Willie Mullins won the prize in 2009, 2010, 2014, 2015, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2021, 2023 & 2024
Trainer Noel Meade has won the race in 2002, 2005, 2006 & 2008
Trainer Jessie Harrington won the race in 2013 and 2016
18 of the last 23 winners came 1st or 2nd last time out

2024 Winner: Mystical Power (2/1 fav)

6:00pm – William Hill Champion Chase (Grade 1) (5yo+) 2m

9 of the last 21 runnings went to the favourite
20 of the last 25 winners came from the first three in the betting
French breds have won 11 of the last 17 runnings
18 of the last 22 returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
13 of the last 22 had previously won at the track
All of the last 22 winners had won before over 2m
16 of the last 22 came 1st or 2nd last time out
16 of the last 22 were Irish-trained winners
16 of the last 22 were aged 9 or younger
5 of the last 19 finished unplaced that season’s Champion Chase at Cheltenham
15 of the last 21 winners ran in the Queen Mother Champion Chase that season
7 of the last 21 winners ran in that season’s Tingle Creek Chase (Sandown)
Paul Nicholls won the race in 2008 & 2009
Willie Mullins won the race in 2010, 2015, 2018, 2019, 2021, 2022 & 2023
Paul Townend has ridden 4 of the last 5 winners
Captain Guinness was 2nd in 2024

2024 Winner: Banbridge (6/1)

Punchestown Festival Trends DAY TWO – Wednesday 30th April 2025

5:30pm– Ladbrokes Punchestown Gold Cup (Grade 1) (5yo+) 3m 1/2f

Recent Punchestown Gold Cup Winners

2024 – FASTORSLOW (7/2)
2023 – FASTORSLOW (20/1)
2022 – ALLAHO (6/5 fav)
2021 – CLAN DES OBEAUX (10/3)
2020 – No race (Covid)
2019 – KEMBOY (13/8 fav)
2018 – BELLSHILL (4/1)
2017 – SIZING JOHN (9/10)
2016 – CARLINGFORD LOUGH (12/1)
2015 – DON COSSACK (5/2)
2014 – BOSTON BOB (5/2 fav)

Punchestown Gold Cup Betting Trends

18/21 – Placed the top 4 last time out
16/21 – Irish-trained winners
16/21 – Aged 8 or younger
15/21 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
11/21– Raced in that season’s Cheltenham Gold Cup
10/21 – Favourites
10/21 – Priced 2/1 or shorter
9/21 – Raced in the Cheltenham Gold Cup last time out
9/21 – Won their last race
5/21 – Won by trainer Willie Mullins (5 of the last 11)
3/21 – Won by trainer Paul Nicholls
Paul Townend has only ridden one winner (Allaho, 2022)
The average winning SP in the last 21 years is 6/1
9 of the last 19 favourites have won
Just 4 of the last 20 winners aged 9+
10 of the last 16 Irish-trained favourites have won
Since 1999 only 3 Irish-trained winners hadn’t won at the course before
11 of the last 25 winners raced in that season’s John Durkan Memorial Chase

Punchestown Festival Trends DAY THREE – Thursday 1st May 2025

3:40pm – Mongey Communications La Touche Cup Cross Country Chase (5yo+) 4m1f

6 winning favourites in the last 18 years (3 join/co)
Trainer Enda Bolger has won 13 of the last 25 runnings
11 of the last 18 winners returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
8 of the last 18 carried 12-2 or more
15 of the last 18 winners were aged 9 or older
7 of the last 18 winners ran in the race 12 months ago
21 of the last 29 winners returned 7/1 or shorter
10 of the last 18 winners ran in the Cheltenham Festival Cross Country race
5 of the last 6 winners were ridden by a claiming jockey
Trainer Peter Maher has won 2 of the last 5
8 of the last 10 winners aged 11+
Vital Island won the race in 2023
Three By Two was 2nd in 2024
Coko Beach was 3rd in 2024

2024 Winner: Singing Banjo (28/1)

5:25pm – Barberstown Novice Chase (Grade 1) (5yo+) 2m

9 winning favourites in the last 13 runnings
17 of the last 18 winners returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
The last 10 winners all aged 6 or 7
26 of the last 28 winners returned 6/1 or shorter
11 of the last 18 winners ran in the Arkle Chase (Cheltenham) that same season
UK-based trainers have won 4 of the last 15 times they have had runners
16 of the last 20 winners had run at least 4 times over fences previously
Willie Mullins trained the winner in 2009, 2013, 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2021, 2022, 2023 & 2024 (won the last 9)
Paul Townend has ridden 3 of the last 4 winners

2024 Winner: Il Etait Temps (7/2)

6:00pm – Ladbrokes.com Champion Stayers Hurdle (Grade 1) (4yo+) 3m

Past Ladbrokes.com Champion Stayers Hurdle Winners

2024 – TEAHUPOO (5/6 fav)
2023 – KLASSICAL DREAM (3/1 jfav)
2022 – KLASSICAL DREAM (11/10 fav)
2021 – KLASSICAL DREAM (5/1)
2020 – No race (Covid)
2019 – UNOWHATIMEANHARRY (16/1)
2018 – FAUGHEEN (11/2)
2017 – UNOWHATIMEANHARRY (4/1)
2016 – ONE TRACK MIND (10/1)
2015 – JEZKI (5/2)
2014 – JETSON (20/1)

Ladbrokes Champion Stayers Hurdle Betting Trends

17/21 – Raced at the Cheltenham Festival earlier that season
16/21 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
14/21 – Aged 8 or younger
14/21 – Placed in the top three last time out
14/21 – Irish trained winners
10/21 – Trained by Willie Mullins
10/21 – Won last time out
10/21 – Winning favourites
7/21 – Ran in the Aintree Hurdle last time out
5/21 – Ran in the Mares’ Hurdle (Cheltenham) last time out
16 of the last 18 winners aged 9 or younger
Only two Stayers’ Hurdle (Cheltenham) winner in the last 24 runnings
The market leader has won 12 of the last 23 runnings
12 of the last 22 winners won their previous race
11 of the 27 runnings have been won by a British-trained horse
8 of the last 20 winners ran at Aintree’s Grand National Meeting last time out
14 of the last 21 winners had won a Grade One over 3m+ before
Trainer Gordon Elliott has won the race just once (2024)

Punchestown Festival Trends DAY FOUR – Friday 2nd May 2025

6:40pm – Boodles Champion Hurdle (GRADE 1) 2m

13 of the last 20 favourites (2 joint) have won
12 of the last 18 winners won last time out
16 of the last 17 winners finished in the top 3 last time out
17 of the last 19 winners were aged 6 or older
16 of the last 25 winners ran in that season’s Champion Hurdle
The current Champion Hurdler is yet to finish out of the top two when running
16 of the last 19 winners returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
Willie Mullins trained the winner in 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2015, 2016, 2017, 2023 & 2024
10 of the last 13 winners returned odds-on in the betting
17 of the last 19 winners were Irish-trained
Paul Townend has ridden the last two winners

2024 Winner: State Man (2/7 fav)

6:05pm – Alanna Homes Champion Novice Hurdle (GRADE 1) 2m4f

13 of the last 19 favourites have won
12 of the last 19 winners were aged 5 years-old
17 of the last 19 winners were aged 5 or 6 years-old
Willie Mullins has won 13 of the last 22 runnings (last 4)
Paul Townend has ridden the last 4 winners
17 of the last 23 winners won last time out
Paul Townend and Willie Mullins have won the last 4
Since 1996 all-bar-two of the winners were aged either 5 or 6 years-old
Owner J Donnelly has won 2 of the last 4 runnings

2024 Winner: Ballyburn (1/5 fav)

Punchestown Festival Trends DAY FIVE – Saturday 3rd May 2025

4:50pm – Ballymore Four-Year-Old Hurdle (Grade 1) 2m

9 winning favourites in the last 19 runnings
17 of the last 19 winners returned 15/2 or shorter
Willie Mullins trained the winner in 2006, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2022, 2023 & 2024
Paul Townend and Willie Mullins have won the last 3
Willie Mullins has won 8 of the last 10
4 of the last 9 winners have been mares (last 2)
15 of the last 18 winners ran in that season’s Triumph Hurdle (Cheltenham)
9 of the last 16 winners ran in that season’s Spring Juvenile Hurdle
10 of the last 26 runnings went to a British-trained horse
Owner Rich Ricci has won 4 of the last 7 runnings