Royal Ascot Trends Day Four – Including Key Stats For Coronation Stakes

Updated
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Royal Ascot trends

See our Royal Ascot trends on day four as the action moves into Friday with seven more top races – including the Group One Coronation Stakes. You can apply these stats to the final runners and find the best profiles based on past winners. 

Royal Ascot Trends Day Four (Friday 20th June 2025): Key Stats To Help You Find The Friday Winners 

The Royal Ascot 2025 action continues moves into Friday and day four.

We get going with the Group 3 Albany Stakes for 2 year-old fillies and it’s a race veteran jockey Jamie Spencer has won four times in the past. He tries to land the money again with Gold Digger.

The Commonwealth Cup is the first of two Group One races on the afternoon, and all eyes will be on 2000 Guineas third Shadow Of Light, who drops back in trip.

He’ll be taking on the likes of Babouche and two Aidan O’Brien Royal Ascot runners in Whistlejacket and Ides of March.

The Duke Of Edinburgh Stakes is the third race on day four and Ryan Moore and Willie Mullins team-up here with Ethical Diamond, who was 4th in the race 12 months ago.

Then the second Group One race on the day is the Coronation Stakes at 4:20pm. Where the French 1000 Guineas winner Zarigana is back on the track.

She takes on the recently supplemented pair of Kon Tiki and Falakeyah.

The key Royal Ascot trends on day four tell us here that 15 of the last 19 winners were drawn 5 or higher.

The Friday action ends with the Sandringham Stakes, King Edward VII Stakes and Palace Of Holyroodhouse Stakes.

You can see all the Royal Ascot trends on DAY FOUR below – with stats for all seven contests.

Royal Ascot Stats On Friday

2.30 – Albany Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 6f ITV

Albany Stakes Past Winners

  • 2024 – Fairy Godmother (15/8 fav)
  • 2023 – Porta Fortuna (5/1)
  • 2022 – Meditate (5/2)
  • 2021 – Sandrine (16/1)
  • 2020 – Dandalla (13/2)

Albany Stakes Key Trends

  • 23/23 – Between 1 and 2 previous runs
  • 23/23 – Yet to race at Ascot
  • 22/23 – Top 3 last time out
  • 19/23 – Won last time out
  • 17/23 – Won by either a Feb or Mar foal
  • 16/23 – Favourites placed
  • 12/23 – Past winner over 6f
  • 10/23 – Returned a double-figure price
  • 7/23 – Favourites
  • 5/23 – Won by trainers Channon (2) or Hannon (3)
  • 3/23 – Raced at Sandown last time
  • 2/23 – Trained by Roger Varian (2 of the last 11)
  • Jockey Jamie Spencer has won the race 4 times
  • Trainer Aidan O’Brien has won the race 3 times (2 of the last 3)
  • Jockey Ryan Moore has won the race 3 times (2 of the last 3)
  • 16 of the last 20 winners came from double-figure stalls
  • 12 of the last 19 winners came from stalls 11-15 (inc)

3.05 – Commonwealth Cup (Group 1) (Class 1) (3yo) 6f ITV

Commonwealth Cup Recent Winners

  • 2024 – Inisherin (9/4 fav)
  • 2023 – Shaquille (9/1)
  • 2022 – Perfect Power (7/2 jfav)
  • 2021 – Campanelle (5/1)
  • 2020 – Golden Horde (5/1)

Commonwealth Cup Trends

  • 10/10 – Won over 6f
  • 8/10 – Had run at Ascot
  • 8/10 – Drawn 8 or lower
  • 7/10 – Won 3+ times
  • 6/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
  • 4/10 – Rated 117 or higher
  • 4/10 – Favourite
  • 4/10 – Won last race
  • 2/10 – Came from stall 8
  • Trainer Aidan O’Brien has won the race once (Caravaggio, 2017)

3.40 – Duke of Edinburgh Stakes Handicap (CLASS 2) (3yo+ 0-105) 1m4f ITV

Duke of Edinburgh Past Winners

  • 2024 – Crystal Black (11/1)
  • 2023 – Okita Soushi (9/1)
  • 2022 – Candleford (11/2)
  • 2021 – Quickthorn (7/2 fav)
  • 2020 – Scarlet Dragon (33/1)

Duke of Edinburgh Trends

  • 20/22 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
  • 20/22 – Won over at least 1m2f before
  • 20/22 – At least 2 previous career wins to their name
  • 18/22 – Carried 9-0 or more
  • 16/22 – Placed in last race
  • 14/22 – At least 2 previous runs that season
  • 14/22 – Won over 1m4f
  • 11/22 – Raced at Ascot
  • 9/22 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
  • 7/22 – Trained by Hughie Morrison (4) or the Johnston (3) yard
  • 7/22 – Raced at either York or Epsom last time (inc 7 of last 12 winners)
  • 7/22 – Favourites unplaced
  • 6/22 – Raced at Newmarket last time
  • 5/22 – Favourites
  • 16 of the last 19 winners came from a double-figure stall
  • Trainer Aidan O’Brien has never won this race

4.20 – Coronation Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m ITV

Coronation Stakes Past Winners

  • 2024 – Porta Fortuna (7/2)
  • 2023 – Tahiyra (8/13 fav)
  • 2022 – Inspiral (15/8 fav)
  • 2021 – Alcohol Free (11/2)
  • 2020 – Alpine Star (9/2)

Coronation Stakes Trends

  • 22/23 – Won over at least 7f before
  • 21/23 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
  • 18/23 –Won a Group 1 or 2 previously
  • 18/23 – Between 1 and 2 previous runs that season
  • 15/23 – Had won over at least a 1 mile before
  • 11/23 – Raced in that season’s English 1,000 Guineas
  • 10/23 – Favourites (1 joint)
  • 9/23 – Had run at Ascot before (3 winners)
  • 8/23 – Unplaced in last race
  • 6/23 – Raced in that season’s Irish 1,000 Guineas
  • 3/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
  • 3/23 – Trained by John Gosden
  • 2/23 – Trained by Jessica Harrington (2 of the last 7)
  • 16 of the last 18 winners returned 8/1 or shorter
  • No winners from stall 1 in the last 19 runnings
  • 15 of the last 19 winners came from stalls 5 or higher
  • 11 of the last 19 winners were non UK-trained – French (4), Irish (7)
  • The Aga Khan IV has won 2 of the last 10

5.00 – Sandringham Handicap (Listed Race) 1m ITV

Sandringham Handicap Recent Winners

  • 2024 – Soprano (14/1)
  • 2023 – Coppice (6/1 jfav)
  • 2022 – Heredia (7/2 fav)
  • 2021 – Create Belief (6/1)
  • 2020 – Onassis (33/1)

Sandringham Handicap Trends

  • 19/23 – Had between 2 and 4 previous runs that season
  • 19/23 – Priced 14/1 or shorter in the betting
  • 17/23 – Had won over at least 7f before
  • 17/23 – Placed last time out
  • 17/23 – Never run at Ascot before
  • 15/23 – Carried 8-11 or more
  • 15/23 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
  • 12/23 – Won last time out
  • 10/23 – Returned a double-figure price
  • 8/23 – Had exactly 3 runs already that season
  • 8/23 – Favourites (1 co, 1 joint)
  • 4/23 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
  • 8 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 11+
  • Charlie Fellowes has trained 2 of the last 6 winners
  • Richard Hannon has trained 2 of the last 10 winners
  • John Gosden has trained 2 of the last 9 winners
  • Trainer Aidan O’Brien has never won this race

5.35 – King Edward VII Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m4f ITV

King Edward VII Stakes Recent Winners

  • 2024 – Calandagan (11/2)
  • 2023 – King Of Steel (11/10 fav)
  • 2022 – Changingoftheguard (11/10 fav)
  • 2021 – Alenquer (13/8 fav)
  • 2020 – Pyledriver (18/1)

King Edward VII Stakes Trends

  • 21/22 – 2 previous runs that season
  • 20/22 – Priced 9/1 or shorter in the
  • 18/22 – Had never raced at Ascot before
  • 16/22 – Finished in the top three last time out
  • 15/22 – Favourites placed
  • 14/22 – Won at least 2 previous races during their career
  • 13/22 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
  • 11/22 – Had already won a Listed or better class race
  • 8/22 – Favourites
  • 3/22 – Trained by John Gosden
  • 3/22 – Trained by the Johnston yard
  • 3/22 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (2 of the last 5)
  • 1/22 – Only 1 French-trained winner
  • Only 1 winner from stall 1 in the last 19 runnings
  • 12 of the last 19 winners came from stalls 4-9 (inc)
  • 16 of the last 18 winners returned 9/1 or shorter

6.10 – Palace Of Holyroodhouse Handicap (3yo) 5f ITV4

  • Just 5 previous runnings
  • 5/5 – Carried 9-1 or less
  • 5/5 – Drawn 11-25
  • 1/5 – Winning favourites
  • Pilgrim (18/1) won this race in 2024
  • Rhythm N Hooves (12/1) won this race in 2023
  • Latin Lover (5/1) won this race in 2022
  • Trainer David and Nicola Barron won this race in 2024
  • Trainer Harry Eustace won this race in 2022
  • Trainer Karl Burke won this race in 2021
  • Trainer Tim Easterby won this race in 2020

WATCH: All the Royal Ascot Day Four Finishes 2024