Brighton & Hove Albion host Liverpool at the Amex Stadium in a Premier League Matchweek 31 fixture on Saturday, March 21, 2026 (kick-off 12:30pm GMT, live on Sky Sports). Fabian Hürzeler’s Seagulls sit 12th in the table and will be looking to upset Arne Slot’s Reds, who are pushing for a top-four finish despite an inconsistent run of results.
This fixture has produced plenty of goals and drama in recent seasons, and with both sides missing key players, another open contest is on the cards. Here are our top Brighton vs Liverpool betting tips, powered by AI analysis.
AI Betting Tips for Brighton vs Liverpool
🤖 Gemini’s Betting Tip: Liverpool to Win — 4/6
Liverpool have dominated this fixture historically and remain strong favourites despite injuries. Slot’s side have won 14 of the last 22 Premier League meetings and are in better overall form. At 4/6 this is the standout banker bet.
🤖 Grok’s Betting Tip: Over 2.5 Goals — 4/5 + Virgil van Dijk to be carded (5/2)
Both teams play expansive football and this fixture averages 3.41 goals per game. Van Dijk often picks up bookings when Brighton’s forwards run at him – expect a physical battle and at least three goals.
🤖 Claude’s Betting Tip: Mohamed Salah anytime goalscorer — Evens
Salah has been in sensational form and scores regularly against Brighton (multiple goals in recent H2H). With space likely to open up, the Egyptian king is the standout anytime scorer at evens – strong each-way value.
Brighton vs Liverpool Form Guide, Head-to-Head & Key Stats
Brighton sit 12th with a solid but unspectacular home record, picking up points against mid-table sides but struggling against the top six. Liverpool are 5th and chasing Champions League qualification, showing improved results but still inconsistent away from Anfield.
Head-to-Head: In 22 Premier League meetings, Brighton have 4 wins, Liverpool 14 wins and there have been 4 draws. Liverpool lead the goals tally 49-26. Recent meetings include high-scoring thrillers and Liverpool wins, though Brighton have claimed occasional scalps.
Key Stats: 73% of H2H games have gone over 2.5 goals; both teams to score in 64%; Salah has scored in 60% of recent encounters with Brighton; the Seagulls have kept just one clean sheet in their last eight home games against Liverpool.
Our Verdict: Brighton vs Liverpool AI Prediction
Liverpool’s quality and attacking firepower should prevail at the Amex, but Brighton’s organised pressing and home atmosphere could make it uncomfortable. Expect Slot’s side to edge a 1-2 or 2-3 win in another goal-filled afternoon.
Best Bet: Liverpool to Win at 4/6 Alternative: Over 2.5 Goals at 4/5
This Brighton vs Liverpool clash promises entertainment and value. Back the Reds to take all three points and keep your Premier League betting season on track.
Brighton vs Liverpool Team News: Injuries, Suspensions & Key Absences
Brighton Injury Update: Brighton are without star winger Kaoru Mitoma (ankle – doubtful after missing the Sunderland win), Stefanos Tzimas (ACL) and Adam Webster (long-term ACL). Carlos Baleba is a doubt but expected to feature. No new suspensions.
Liverpool Injury & Suspension Update: Liverpool’s injury list remains lengthy: Alexander Isak (fibula fracture – stepping up recovery but unlikely), Wataru Endo (ankle/foot surgery), Conor Bradley (knee), Giovanni Leoni (ACL) and Jeremie Frimpong (groin) are all out. Dominik Szoboszlai returns from suspension and will add midfield dynamism.
Predicted Lineups: Brighton vs Liverpool
Brighton (4-2-3-1): Steele; Veltman, Van Hecke, Dunk, Kadıoğlu; Baleba, Hinshelwood; Minteh, Rutter, Welbeck; Ferguson.
Liverpool (4-3-3): Alisson; Gomez, Konaté, Van Dijk, Robertson; Gravenberch, Jones, Szoboszlai; Salah, Gakpo, Chiesa.
These lineups reflect Brighton’s need for creativity without Mitoma and Liverpool’s reliance on their experienced backline and attacking stars.
Notable Recent Brighton vs Liverpool Results
- December 13, 2025: Liverpool 2-0 Brighton (Premier League)
- May 19, 2025: Brighton 3-2 Liverpool (Premier League – Brighton comeback win at home)
- November 2, 2024: Liverpool 2-1 Brighton (Premier League)
- October 30, 2024: Brighton 2-3 Liverpool (League Cup, but shows scoring trends)
- March 31, 2024: Liverpool 2-1 Brighton
- October 8, 2023: Brighton 2-2 Liverpool (high-scoring draw)
- January 14, 2023: Brighton 3-0 Liverpool (Brighton upset win)
- October 1, 2022: Liverpool 3-3 Brighton (classic thriller)
This fixture is known for entertainment – often featuring goals, comebacks, and drama – especially when Brighton play at home against top sides. Liverpool hold a clear historical edge, but Brighton’s recent home performances (including wins and high-scoring draws) make them dangerous underdogs.
