The UK jump racing action might have stopped, but the good news is there is still plenty going on this week in Ireland with the five-day 2025 Punchestown Festival running from Tuesday to Saturday. With that in mind, we’ve compiled the best of the Punchestown Festival trends to use for the main races this week – including the Punchestown Gold Cup, Champion Chase and Champion Hurdles.
You can also relive the 2024 winners for the key races at this week below – and with a certain Willie Mullins having remarkable records in most we can expect a stack more winners for the recently crowned champion British horse racing jump trainer.
Punchestown Festival Trends DAY ONE – Tuesday 29th April 2025
4:15pm – KPMG Champion Novice Hurdle (Grade 1) (5yo+) 2m 1/2f
- 11 of the last 19 runnings went to the favourite
- 12 of the last 18 winners had won a Grade 1 or 2 before
- 16 of the last 19 recent winners were priced 8/1 or shorter
- 11 of the last 19 returned 2/1 or shorter in the betting
- No British-trained winner for 24 years (18 runners)
- Supreme Novice Hurdle winners have only followed-up 4 times
- 17 of the last 18 were aged either 5 or 6 years-old
- Willie Mullins won the prize in 2009, 2010, 2014, 2015, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2021, 2023 & 2024
- Trainer Noel Meade has won the race in 2002, 2005, 2006 & 2008
- Trainer Jessie Harrington won the race in 2013 and 2016
- 18 of the last 23 winners came 1st or 2nd last time out
2024 Winner: Mystical Power (2/1 fav)
6:00pm – William Hill Champion Chase (Grade 1) (5yo+) 2m
- 9 of the last 21 runnings went to the favourite
- 20 of the last 25 winners came from the first three in the betting
- French breds have won 11 of the last 17 runnings
- 18 of the last 22 returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
- 13 of the last 22 had previously won at the track
- All of the last 22 winners had won before over 2m
- 16 of the last 22 came 1st or 2nd last time out
- 16 of the last 22 were Irish-trained winners
- 16 of the last 22 were aged 9 or younger
- 5 of the last 19 finished unplaced that season’s Champion Chase at Cheltenham
- 15 of the last 21 winners ran in the Queen Mother Champion Chase that season
- 7 of the last 21 winners ran in that season’s Tingle Creek Chase (Sandown)
- Paul Nicholls won the race in 2008 & 2009
- Willie Mullins won the race in 2010, 2015, 2018, 2019, 2021, 2022 & 2023
- Paul Townend has ridden 4 of the last 5 winners
- Captain Guinness was 2nd in 2024
2024 Winner: Banbridge (6/1)
Punchestown Festival Trends DAY TWO – Wednesday 30th April 2025
5:30pm– Ladbrokes Punchestown Gold Cup (Grade 1) (5yo+) 3m 1/2f
Recent Punchestown Gold Cup Winners
- 2024 – FASTORSLOW (7/2)
- 2023 – FASTORSLOW (20/1)
- 2022 – ALLAHO (6/5 fav)
- 2021 – CLAN DES OBEAUX (10/3)
- 2020 – No race (Covid)
- 2019 – KEMBOY (13/8 fav)
- 2018 – BELLSHILL (4/1)
- 2017 – SIZING JOHN (9/10)
- 2016 – CARLINGFORD LOUGH (12/1)
- 2015 – DON COSSACK (5/2)
- 2014 – BOSTON BOB (5/2 fav)
Punchestown Gold Cup Betting Trends
- 18/21 – Placed the top 4 last time out
- 16/21 – Irish-trained winners
- 16/21 – Aged 8 or younger
- 15/21 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
- 11/21– Raced in that season’s Cheltenham Gold Cup
- 10/21 – Favourites
- 10/21 – Priced 2/1 or shorter
- 9/21 – Raced in the Cheltenham Gold Cup last time out
- 9/21 – Won their last race
- 5/21 – Won by trainer Willie Mullins (5 of the last 11)
- 3/21 – Won by trainer Paul Nicholls
- Paul Townend has only ridden one winner (Allaho, 2022)
- The average winning SP in the last 21 years is 6/1
- 9 of the last 19 favourites have won
- Just 4 of the last 20 winners aged 9+
- 10 of the last 16 Irish-trained favourites have won
- Since 1999 only 3 Irish-trained winners hadn’t won at the course before
- 11 of the last 25 winners raced in that season’s John Durkan Memorial Chase
Punchestown Festival Trends DAY THREE – Thursday 1st May 2025
3:40pm – Mongey Communications La Touche Cup Cross Country Chase (5yo+) 4m1f
- 6 winning favourites in the last 18 years (3 join/co)
- Trainer Enda Bolger has won 13 of the last 25 runnings
- 11 of the last 18 winners returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
- 8 of the last 18 carried 12-2 or more
- 15 of the last 18 winners were aged 9 or older
- 7 of the last 18 winners ran in the race 12 months ago
- 21 of the last 29 winners returned 7/1 or shorter
- 10 of the last 18 winners ran in the Cheltenham Festival Cross Country race
- 5 of the last 6 winners were ridden by a claiming jockey
- Trainer Peter Maher has won 2 of the last 5
- 8 of the last 10 winners aged 11+
- Vital Island won the race in 2023
- Three By Two was 2nd in 2024
- Coko Beach was 3rd in 2024
2024 Winner: Singing Banjo (28/1)
5:25pm – Barberstown Novice Chase (Grade 1) (5yo+) 2m
- 9 winning favourites in the last 13 runnings
- 17 of the last 18 winners returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
- The last 10 winners all aged 6 or 7
- 26 of the last 28 winners returned 6/1 or shorter
- 11 of the last 18 winners ran in the Arkle Chase (Cheltenham) that same season
- UK-based trainers have won 4 of the last 15 times they have had runners
- 16 of the last 20 winners had run at least 4 times over fences previously
- Willie Mullins trained the winner in 2009, 2013, 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2021, 2022, 2023 & 2024 (won the last 9)
- Paul Townend has ridden 3 of the last 4 winners
2024 Winner: Il Etait Temps (7/2)
6:00pm – Ladbrokes.com Champion Stayers Hurdle (Grade 1) (4yo+) 3m
Past Ladbrokes.com Champion Stayers Hurdle Winners
- 2024 – TEAHUPOO (5/6 fav)
- 2023 – KLASSICAL DREAM (3/1 jfav)
- 2022 – KLASSICAL DREAM (11/10 fav)
- 2021 – KLASSICAL DREAM (5/1)
- 2020 – No race (Covid)
- 2019 – UNOWHATIMEANHARRY (16/1)
- 2018 – FAUGHEEN (11/2)
- 2017 – UNOWHATIMEANHARRY (4/1)
- 2016 – ONE TRACK MIND (10/1)
- 2015 – JEZKI (5/2)
- 2014 – JETSON (20/1)
Ladbrokes Champion Stayers Hurdle Betting Trends
- 17/21 – Raced at the Cheltenham Festival earlier that season
- 16/21 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
- 14/21 – Aged 8 or younger
- 14/21 – Placed in the top three last time out
- 14/21 – Irish trained winners
- 10/21 – Trained by Willie Mullins
- 10/21 – Won last time out
- 10/21 – Winning favourites
- 7/21 – Ran in the Aintree Hurdle last time out
- 5/21 – Ran in the Mares’ Hurdle (Cheltenham) last time out
- 16 of the last 18 winners aged 9 or younger
- Only two Stayers’ Hurdle (Cheltenham) winner in the last 24 runnings
- The market leader has won 12 of the last 23 runnings
- 12 of the last 22 winners won their previous race
- 11 of the 27 runnings have been won by a British-trained horse
- 8 of the last 20 winners ran at Aintree’s Grand National Meeting last time out
- 14 of the last 21 winners had won a Grade One over 3m+ before
- Trainer Gordon Elliott has won the race just once (2024)
Punchestown Festival Trends DAY FOUR – Friday 2nd May 2025
6:40pm – Boodles Champion Hurdle (GRADE 1) 2m
- 13 of the last 20 favourites (2 joint) have won
- 12 of the last 18 winners won last time out
- 16 of the last 17 winners finished in the top 3 last time out
- 17 of the last 19 winners were aged 6 or older
- 16 of the last 25 winners ran in that season’s Champion Hurdle
- The current Champion Hurdler is yet to finish out of the top two when running
- 16 of the last 19 winners returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
- Willie Mullins trained the winner in 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2015, 2016, 2017, 2023 & 2024
- 10 of the last 13 winners returned odds-on in the betting
- 17 of the last 19 winners were Irish-trained
- Paul Townend has ridden the last two winners
2024 Winner: State Man (2/7 fav)
6:05pm – Alanna Homes Champion Novice Hurdle (GRADE 1) 2m4f
- 13 of the last 19 favourites have won
- 12 of the last 19 winners were aged 5 years-old
- 17 of the last 19 winners were aged 5 or 6 years-old
- Willie Mullins has won 13 of the last 22 runnings (last 4)
- Paul Townend has ridden the last 4 winners
- 17 of the last 23 winners won last time out
- Paul Townend and Willie Mullins have won the last 4
- Since 1996 all-bar-two of the winners were aged either 5 or 6 years-old
- Owner J Donnelly has won 2 of the last 4 runnings
2024 Winner: Ballyburn (1/5 fav)
Punchestown Festival Trends DAY FIVE – Saturday 3rd May 2025
4:50pm – Ballymore Four-Year-Old Hurdle (Grade 1) 2m
- 9 winning favourites in the last 19 runnings
- 17 of the last 19 winners returned 15/2 or shorter
- Willie Mullins trained the winner in 2006, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2022, 2023 & 2024
- Paul Townend and Willie Mullins have won the last 3
- Willie Mullins has won 8 of the last 10
- 4 of the last 9 winners have been mares (last 2)
- 15 of the last 18 winners ran in that season’s Triumph Hurdle (Cheltenham)
- 9 of the last 16 winners ran in that season’s Spring Juvenile Hurdle
- 10 of the last 26 runnings went to a British-trained horse
- Owner Rich Ricci has won 4 of the last 7 runnings
2024 Winner: Kargese (9/4 fav)
