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The 2022 U.S. Open is officially here, and there’s plenty of buzz leading up to the year’s third major championship with LIV Golf defectors Phil Mickelson, Dustin Johnson, and others returning to U.S. soil. But I’m not worried about the drama Greg Norman’s new league is bringing to the golf world. I’m worried about winning money.

To do that this week, I’ll be targeting golfers who can pump their drivers long and straight, pepper the tiny greens at The Country Club at Brookline, and limit big numbers. With that in mind, here are the four players you need to bet to win the U.S. Open this week.

Jon Rahm +1500

If you could craft the perfect golfer to tackle the challenges a U.S. Open presents, it would be Jon Rahm. The Spaniard bombs it off the tee, keeps it in the fairway, flushes his irons, and can get up and down from anywhere. In terms of ball striking, Rahm has been the best on the PGA Tour by a wide margin this season.

The 27-year-old ranks first on Tour in total driving and 22nd in strokes gained approaching the green. He also ranks 11th in bogey avoidance. The only downfall for Rahm this year has been his short game, but he’s showing signs of life recently by gaining strokes both putting and around the green in three of his last four starts.

Rahm finally put it all together at Torrey Pines last year, and there’s no reason he can’t do the same this weekend to repeat as U.S. Open champion.

Collin Morikawa +3200

Collin Morikawa plays a shot during a U.S. Open practice round.
Collin Morikawa plays a shot from the sixth tee during a practice round prior to the 2022 U.S. Open at The Country Club | Cliff Hawkins/Getty Images

It seems as if everyone is jumping off the Collin Morikawa bandwagon, and it’s easy to see why. The 25-year-old doesn’t have a top-25 finish since The Masters two months ago, and he’s lost strokes putting in every start since.

Now that he’s drifted to 32-1, though, I’m more than willing to jump back on the two-time major champion. The elite ball striking is still there, and he should have plenty of success hitting these small greens at The Country Club consistently. Morikawa is going to hit plenty of fairways and give himself plenty of birdie putts this weekend. He just needs to start knocking them in.

Shane Lowry +3500

I don’t love how Shane Lowry is paired with LIV Golf distractors Phil Mickelson and Louis Oosthuizen for the first two rounds, but I do love his statistical profile and current form leading up to the toughest test in golf. The Irishman hasn’t finished worse than 35th in 2022, and he has seven top-15 finishes and three top-fives in that span.

In terms of raw stats, Lowry ranks 22nd on Tour in total driving, ninth in SG:APP, and third in bogey avoidance. Not many players are better at grinding out pars and avoiding big numbers than Lowry, and that’s exactly what you need to do in a U.S. Open. If he has a hot putting week, Lowry will be right at the top of the leaderboard on Sunday afternoon.

Sungjae Im +4000

Sungjae Im doesn’t have a great track record at the U.S. Open. In three career starts, he’s missed the cut once and hasn’t finished better than 22nd. But on paper, his game is tailor-made for the U.S. Open, and he’s due to break out in a big way.

This season, Im ranks 11th on Tour in total driving, third in ball striking, and second in bogey avoidance. The South Korean has finished 21st or better in each of his last five starts, and he’s gained at least 1.73 strokes on the field in every one.

Im showed in his two PGA Tour victories that he can outduel the best golfers in the world, and he has the all-around game to do just that at the U.S. Open.

Good luck with all your action this week!

All betting odds courtesy of Oddschecker as of 6/14.

All stats courtesy of PGA Tour.

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