Betting on Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs Has Been Extremely Profitable for 4 Years, but Will It Continue in 2022?

Betting on sports is never an easy game, not even for the professionals who do this for a living. But sometimes we make it much harder than it needs to be.

It’s possible to blindly bet on one team for an entire season and end up with a profit, and in the case of the Kansas City Chiefs, that’s been true dating back to Patrick Mahomes’ first full season as the starter four years ago.

If you blindly bet the Chiefs in the futures market and on a week-to-week basis since Mahomes became the starter, you’d have won nearly $3,000 based on $100 units. Is it too late to get in on the cash cow that is the Mahomes-led Chiefs?

Sports bettors would be up $3,000 blindly betting $100 units on the Patrick Mahomes-led Chiefs

Patrick Mahomes celebrates after throwing a touchdown pass.
Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes celebrates after throwing a touchdown pass against the Baltimore Ravens | Rob Carr/Getty Images

Many of the top teams in the NFL every year struggle against the spread because of the large spreads they usually have to cover on a week-to-week basis. But not the Chiefs.

In 74 career starts, Mahomes has gone 41-31-2 against the spread, per Bookies.com. If you bet $100 on every Mahomes start throughout his career, you’d be up $626.90 to date (assuming the standard -110 odds for each bet). Additionally, you’d be up another $987.35 if you bet the Chiefs on the moneyline in every one of Mahomes’ starts. That’s a $1,614.25 profit by blindly betting Kansas City ATS and ML since Mahomes made his debut in 2017.

But that’s not all.

If you also bet the Chiefs to make the playoffs, win the AFC West, win the AFC, and win the Super Bowl before each of the last four seasons, you’d be up $1,118.58 to date, per BetKansas.com.

Add it all together and that’s a total profit of $2,732.83.

This must be a painful read for those with red numbers in their account every year. You could’ve made thousands of dollars since 2017 betting strictly on Mahomes and leaving every other team in the NFL alone.

But that’s no fun, is it?

Can Mahomes and the Chiefs continue to be a cash cow in 2022?

The Chiefs have won at least 12 games in each of the last four regular seasons. They’ve reached the AFC Championship in all four years of the Mahomes reign, and they have short odds to replicate that success in 2022.

Kansas City’s win total for the upcoming season sits at a modest 10.5. The Chiefs are -225 to make the playoffs, +155 to win the AFC West, +500 to win the AFC, and +1000 to win the Super Bowl. If you think the profits are going to keep rolling for Mahomes and Co., you’d be wise to bet on every future available.

But don’t get too carried away. The sports betting Gods normally don’t allow a winning trend to continue for very long, so maybe this is the season Kansas City falls back to earth in the betting market.

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How to get help: In the U.S., contact the National Council on Problem Gambling helpline at 1-800-522-4700.

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