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It’s not a matter of if the Buffalo Bills are going to the NFL Playoffs at this point in the season but a matter of where they’ll be seeded in the AFC when their 2022 campaign concludes in a few weeks.

At 10-3 and coming off a revenge win over the New York Jets, Josh Allen & Co. currently hold the No. 1 spot in the AFC as they own the head-to-head tiebreaker with the Kansas City Chiefs, who are also 10-3.

If the Bills win out, the coveted first-round bye is theirs. And they begin that quest this Saturday with more revenge on their mind as they square off with the Miami Dolphins, who won their Week 3 matchup, 21-19. Buffalo then closes out the season with matchups against the Chicago Bears, Cincinnati Bengals, and New England Patriots.

But let’s not get too far ahead of ourselves here. As the Bills haven’t officially punched their ticket to the postseason just yet, let’s take a look at how they can get that done in Week 15.

Bills playoff scenarios: How the Bills can clinch a spot in the NFL Playoffs in Week 15

Josh Allen during a Bills-Jets matchup in December 2022
Josh Allen of the Buffalo Bills during the second half of an NFL football game against the New York Jets at Highmark Stadium on December 11, 2022 | Joshua Bessex/Getty Images

The simplest way for the Bills to clinch their spot in the postseason is to beat the Dolphins, which doesn’t seem as daunting as it did a few weeks ago.

After winning five in a row following the return of Tua Tagovailoa, Miami has dropped its last two, losing 33-17 to the San Francisco 49ers and 23-17 this past Sunday night to the Los Angeles Chargers.

The Bills, meanwhile, have won four straight following their 33-30 overtime loss to the Minnesota Vikings in Week 10, which is why they’re the favorite for Saturday’s primetime matchup. And being at home certainly doesn’t hurt.

So that’s scenario number one for Buffalo: win and you’re in. However, a tie and some help would get the job done as well. Here’s all the Bills’ playoff scenarios for Week 15:

  • Bills win vs. Dolphins
  • Bills tie vs. Dolphins + Chargers lose vs. Titans
  • Bills tie vs. Dolphins + Patriots lose vs. Raiders + Jets lose vs. Lions
  • Bills tie vs. Dolphins + Chargers tie vs. Titans + Patriots tie vs. Raiders + Jets lose vs. Lions

Have thoughts on this topic? Keep the conversation rolling in our comments section below.

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Senior Writer, Programmer

Luke Norris

Luke Norris began his sportswriting career in 2013 and joined Sportscasting in 2020. The former Section Editor of the NFL and Motorsports sections, he now spends his time here in the role of Senior Writer-Programmer. His well-rounded sports knowledge allows him to cover the NFL, NBA, PGA Tour, MLB, boxing, WWE, and NASCAR for Sportscasting.

Luke is an avid golfer who finds inspiration in the way sports can bring people together and provide a distraction from the real world. He hopes to provide a little entertainment or an escape from the real world with every article he writes, even if only for a few minutes.

In addition to his work here at Sportscasting, Luke’s work has appeared on  The Sportster, Inquisitr, GiveMeSport, FanSided, Yahoo! Fox Sports, and Sports Illustrated.