NFL Super Wild Card Weekend Betting Preview: Odds, Props, and Best Bets for the NFC Bracket
The NFL playoffs are finally here, and we’ve got a fascinating trio of games on the NFC side of the bracket. On Sunday, Tom Brady begins his road to repeat as the Tampa Bay Buccaneers host the Philadelphia Eagles, and the Dallas Cowboys take on the San Francisco 49ers at Jerry World. The Los Angeles Rams then welcome the Arizona Cardinals to town for a Monday night showdown.
We know you’ll be itching to make a few bucks on Super Wild Card Weekend, so we’ve got you covered with our best bets for all three NFC matchups. Let’s make some money, shall we?
NFL Super Wild Card Weekend schedule, spreads, and totals in the NFC
(7)Philadelphia Eagles at (2)Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Sunday, 1 p.m. ET on FOX
- Spread: Buccaneers –8.5
- Total: 46
- Moneyline: Eagles +290, Buccaneers -380
We’ve got a storm brewing in Tampa Bay.
And no, I’m not talking about the Super Bowl 52 rematch between Brady and the Eagles. Sunday’s forecast is calling for 20-30 mph winds and a 90% chance of rain, which makes this matchup even more interesting than it already is. Due to the impending weather, this total has shot down by 3.5 points throughout the week. Interestingly, though, the spread hasn’t moved much at all.
Bettors are banking on Brady and Co. to handle business against playoff rookies Jalen Hurts and Nick Sirianni, but a windy, rainy afternoon surely benefits Philly’s run-heavy offense more. The Buccaneers most likely do enough to move on to the next round, but this one might end up being closer than the spread implies.
(6)San Francisco 49ers at (3)Dallas Cowboys
- Sunday, 4:30 p.m. ET on CBS
- Spread: Cowboys -3
- Total: 51
- Moneyline: 49ers +140, Cowboys -160
We couldn’t have asked for a better mid-afternoon matchup than the one we have on Sunday.
The 49ers, who snuck into the playoffs thanks to a thrilling comeback victory over the Rams last weekend, will travel to the heart of Texas to take on the NFC East champion Cowboys. If you wanted star power, you’ve got it here. Dak Prescott. CeeDee Lamb. Micah Parsons. Deebo Samuel. George Kittle. No wonder this game features the highest total on the board for Super Wild Card Weekend.
This one should be fun.
(5)Arizona Cardinals at (4)Los Angeles Rams
- Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET on ESPN
- Spread: Rams -4
- Total: 49.5
- Moneyline: Cardinals +160, Rams -190
We’ve already seen this game twice in 2021, but that doesn’t take away from the allure of our Monday night matchup this week.
The Cardinals and Rams split their season series this year, with both road teams coming away with the victory in each. But this is a case of two teams going in opposite directions entering the playoffs. Arizona lost four of its last five games in the regular season, while LA won four of its last five.
Will the road upset trend go 3-for-3 between these NFC West rivals?
Prop bets to consider
Rob Gronkowski anytime touchdown (+100)
The Eagles have allowed the most receiving touchdowns to tight ends of any team in the NFL this season. With Darius Slay likely manning up on Mike Evans for most of the game, look for Brady to target ol’ reliable a ton in this one, especially near the end zone.
Leonard Fournette OVER 32.5 receiving yards (-115)
Leonard Fournette had six catches for 46 yards in the first matchup between these two teams. Because the Eagles play primarily a soft zone that leaves short routes open, Playoff Lenny might get 10 targets on Sunday as long as he’s healthy.
Deebo Samuel longest reception OVER 25.5 yards (-110)
This is a fun one. Although the Cowboys defense has been exceptional at turning the ball over this year, it has been prone to giving up big plays. And there’s not a more dangerous big-play wide receiver in the game right now than Samuel.
Cam Akers anytime touchdown (+200)
It’s almost unbelievable that Cam Akers will be playing on Monday just six months removed from tearing his Achilles. This bet might go up in flames, but if you’re going to give me +200 on a team’s best running back to find the end zone, I’ll take it any day.
NFC Best Bets for Super Wild Card Weekend
Look, I’m not saying the Eagles are going to slay the mighty Tom Brady and leave Tampa Bay with an upset victory, but I do believe it will be closer than most expect. Philadelphia’s offensive line has the ability to dominate this game and keep Brady off the field for long stretches at a time.
The Bucs not having Antonio Brown and Chris Godwin is a huge deal, too. Slay should be able to keep Evans in check on the outside. Fournette and Gronk could both have big games, but Tampa Bay’s battered offense will look more methodical than explosive on Sunday, leading to what should be a close, low-scoring game.
And if the weather benefits anyone in this matchup, it has to be the Eagles.
Hurts won’t be able to make the throws late to steal a win, but Philly will fall inside the number.
The 49ers seem to be the public darling of Super Wild Card Weekend. And although I wouldn’t be surprised if they went into Jerry World and won outright, I’m more than happy fading the public dog here.
Dallas, if you can believe it, ranks No. 1 in the NFL this season in DVOA (a fancy stat that essentially measures how efficient a team is on both sides of the ball). I understand San Fran is a dangerous team right now, but I just think this number should be closer to 4.5 than 3. I’ll take the discount on the home team.
The Cardinals were the best road team in the NFL this season. They went 8-1 outside of Arizona with wins against the Cowboys, Titans, 49ers, Seahawks, and yes, the Rams.
Division rivals know each other too well, and these teams played too evenly this year to justify a four-point spread on Monday night. Give me the road dog, and don’t be afraid to sprinkle on the +160 moneyline.
All betting odds courtesy of DraftKings as of 1/14.