Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount contributes to various Racing Post publications including the Weekender and Racing & Football Outlook, plus the GG.co.uk website. Unearthing value bets via handy systems and statistics, he shares his latest thoughts with SportsCasting readers below.
Andrew found 5-2 Doncaster winner CAMPAIGN TRAIL on Saturday and has two stats-based selections on Sunday, December 1st…
LEICESTER 1.15
GETBAZOUTOFHERE (system – Gentlewave, chases)
Progeny of the sire Gentlewave have a 31 from 155 record over fences (prior to Senior Chief’s run on the big race at Newbury yesterday) and backing them blind would have returned a profit of £28.60 to a £1 level stake at SP (expected winners = 21.64, A/E = 1.43).
GETBAZOUTOFHERE arrives here on a hat-trick after a pair of front-running wins at Hereford and could again prove hard to pass.
Is up 6lbs from the last of those wins, which looks a fair rise as the horse won by an easy 7 1/2 lengths.
CARLISLE 3.30
BIG BERT (system – Affinsea, bumpers)
Backing all progeny of the sire Affinsea in bumpers would have found 18 winners from 107 bets for a profit of £8.23 to a £1 level stake at SP. On soft or heavy going only the score is nine from 40 for a profit of £19.40.
BIG BERT, who makes his debut for in-form James Owen after winning a soft-ground 2m4f point, can make a winning start for his new connections.
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