The Royal Ascot trends on day one are a great way of putting history on your side and finding the best profiles based on past winners. Just apply these key Ascot stats to the final runners in each race and see which horses have the more going for them based on past winners.
Royal Ascot Trends Day One (Tuesday 17th June 2025): Key Stats To Help You Find The Tuesday Winners
The Royal Ascot 2025 action gets going on Tuesday with a crackerjack of a card that includes THREE Group One races.
The first of these is the day one opener – the Queen Anne Stakes at 2:30pm – where the first four home in this season’s Lockinge Stakes lock horns again.
We then scoot onto 3:40pm to find the next day one Group One in the King Charles III Stakes as some of the fastest horses from around the world blast down the five-furlong Ascot track. Last year’s winner Asfoora will be back for more as she looks to retain her sprinting title.
Then the final of the Tuesday Royal Ascot Group One races is the St James’s Palace Stakes at 4:20pm. When all eyes will be on one of the big Royal Ascot backers for 2025 – Field Of Gold, who looks to follow-up his recent Irish 2000 Guineas win.
You can see all the Royal Ascot trends on Day One below – with stats for all seven contests.
2.30 – Queen Anne Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) 1m ITV
Godolphin have won the Queen Anne Stakes eight times over the years and try again with last season’s 2000 Guineas winner Notable Speech.
While with 14 of the last 17 winners coming from stalls 4+, then Lockinge Stakes first and second Lead Artist (3) and Dancing Gemini (2) have this to overcome.
Recent Queen Anne Stakes Winners
- 2024 – Charyn (100/30 fav)
- 2023 – Triple Time 33/1
- 2022 – Baaeed (1/6 fav)
- 2021 – Palace Pier (2/7 fav)
- 2020 – Circus Maximus (4/1 fav)
Queen Anne Stakes Trends
- 22/23 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
- 20/23 – Won over 1 mile
- 18/23 – Priced 13/2 or shorter in the betting
- 17/23 – 4 year-old winners
- 17/23 – Had between 1 and 2 previous runs that season
- 16/23 – Won a Group 1 race
- 16/23 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting
- 12/23 – Raced in the Lockinge Stakes at Newbury last time out
- 11/23 – Trained by R Hannon (3), A P O’Brien (4) or owned by Godolphin (4)
- 11/23 – Never run at Ascot before
- 10/23 – Won last time out
- 10/23 – Favourites unplaced
- 9/23 – Favourites
- Godolphin have won the race 8 times in total
- Only 2 winners from Stall 1 in the last 17 runnings
- 14 of the last 17 winners came from stalls 4 or higher
3.05 – Coventry Stakes (Group 2) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 6f ITV
The next Royal Ascot day one trends race is the Coventry Stakes – which has been the best Aidan O’Brien Royal Ascot race over the years.
O’Brien has sent out 10 winners of the race and tries again with Gstaad and Warsaw.
Recent Coventry Stakes Winners
- 2024 – Rashabar (80/1)
- 2023 – River Tiber (11/8 fav)
- 2022 – Bradsell (8/1)
- 2021 – Berkshire Shadow (11/1)
- 2020 – Nando Parrado (150/1)
Coventry Stakes Trends
- 21/23 – Never raced at Ascot
- 21/23 – Won last race
- 20/23 – Had between 1 and 2 previous career runs
- 18/23 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
- 17/23 – Foaled in either Feb or March
- 16/23 – From the top three in the betting
- 13/23 – Won over 6f
- 11/23 – Favourites (3 joint)
- 8/23 – Raced at either Newbury or Newmarket last time out
- 7/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (10 in total)
- 4/23 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (4 of the last 14)
- 2/23 – Trained by Richard Hannon
- 2/23 – Won by a Jan foal
- 14 of the last 17 winners came from stalls 6 or higher
- 9 of the last 17 winners came from stalls 9-19 (inc)
3.40 – The King Charles III Stakes (Group 1) (CLASS 1) (3yo+) 5f ITV
The Kings Charles III Stakes is one of the big Group One sprints on the week and we’ve last year’s winner Asfoora back for more.
She’ll become the first back-to-back winner since Blue Point in 2018/19.
The Royal Ascot trends for this day one race also tell is that a non UK-trained horse has won 13 of the last 23.
Recent King Charles III Stakes Winners
- 2024 – Asfoora (5/1)
- 2023 – Bradsell (14/1)
- 2022 – Nature Strip (9/4)
- 2021 – Oxted (4/1)
- 2020 – Battaash (5/6 fav)
King Charles III Stakes Trends
- 22/23 – Aged 7 or younger
- 21/23 – Won a Group race before
- 19/23 – Won over 5f before
- 19/23 – Aged 4 or older
- 17/23 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
- 14/23 – Placed first or second last time out
- 14/23 – Raced at Ascot before (9 had won at the track)
- 13/23 – Won by a non-UK based trained horse
- 13/23 – Favourites placed
- 6/23 – Raced at either Flemington (3) or Chantilly (3) last time out
- 7/23 – Favourites to finish third
- 5/23 – Won by an Australian-trained horse
- 4/23 – Favourites
- 4/23 – 3 Year-old winners
- A horse from stalls 9, 11 & 14 has been placed in 14 of the last 17 runnings
- 3 of the last 7 winners stall 10
- Trainer Charlie Appleby has won 2 of the last 8
- Trainer Robert Cowell has won 2 of the last 14
- 10 of the last 21 won by a non-UK trained horse
4.20 – St James´s Palace Stakes (Group 1) (Entire Colts) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m ITV
The final day one Group One Royal Ascot race is the St James’s Palace Stakes – which looks a great renewal with this season’s English, Irish and French Guineas winners – Ruling Court, Field Of Gold and Henri Matisse – doing battle again.
Henri Matisse is another of the key Aidan O’Brien Royal Ascot runners this week and will be looking to give the Ballydoyle handler a tenth win in the race.
Recent St James’s Palace Stakes Winners
- 2024 – Rosallion (5/2)
- 2023 – Paddington (11/5)
- 2022 – Coroebus (10/11 fav)
- 2021 – Poetic Flare (7/2 fav)
- 2020 – Palace Pier (4/1)
St James’s Palace Stakes Trends
- 23/23 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting
- 20/23 – Won over a mile
- 19/23 – Favourites placed
- 18/23 – Had either 2 or 3 previous runs that season
- 18/23– Previous Group 1 or 2 winners
- 16/23 – Priced 3/1 or shorter in the betting
- 16/23 – Previous Group 1 winners
- 14/23 – Won last time out
- 13/23 – Favourites (1 joint)
- 12/23 – Raced in the Irish 2000 Guineas (Curragh) last time out (9 won it)
- 10/23 – Irish-trained winners
- 7/23 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (9 total)
- 7/23 – Had run at Ascot before
- Just 4 winners from stall 1 or 2 in the last 17 runnings
- 6 of the last 17 winners came from stalls 4 or 5
- 3 of the last 11 winners ridden by Ryan Moore
- Trainer Richard Hannon has won 2 of the last 8
- Trainer John Gosden has won 2 of the last 8
5.00 – Ascot Stakes (Handicap) (CLASS 2) (4yo+ 0-95) 2m4f ITV
Ascot Stakes Recent Winners
- 2024 – Pledgeofallegiance (20/1)
- 2023 – Ahorsewithnoname (7/1)
- 2022 – Coltrane (14/1)
- 2021 – Reshoun (66/1)
- 2020 – Coeur De Lion (16/1)
Ascot Stakes Trends
- 20/23 – Carried 8-13 or more in weight
- 17/23 – Had at least 1 previous run on the flat that season
- 16/23 – Won by a stable better known for their NH runners
- 16/23 – Won over at least 2m on the flat before
- 13/23 – Priced a double-figure price in the betting
- 13/23 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
- 10/23 – Won last time out
- 4/23 – Trained by Willie Mullins (4 of the last 13)
- 3/23 – Trained by the Pipe stable
- 3/23 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (3 of the last 13)
- 3/23 – Favourites
- 2/23 – Trained by Ian Williams
- William Buick has ridden 2 of the last 4 winners
- 2 of the last 5 winners ridden by a claiming jockey
- Just two winner (or placed) horse from stall 1 placed in the last 17 runnings
5.40 – Wolferton Stakes (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (4yo+ 0-110) 1m2f ITV
Wolferton Stakes Recent Winners
- 2024 – Israr (11/4 fav)
- 2023 – Royal Champion (16/1)
- 2022 – Dubai Future (20/1)
- 2021 – Juan Elcano (14/1)
- 2020 – Mountain Angel (8/1)
Wolferton Rated Stakes Key Trends
- 17/22 – Had between 1 and 3 runs already that season
- 16/22 – Finished unplaced last time out
- 16/22 – Won 3 or more races during their career
- 15/22 – Won over 1m2f or further before
- 13/22 – Aged 4 years-old
- 13/22 – Had raced at Ascot before
- 11/22 – Favourites unplaced
- 11/22 – Priced a double-figure price
- 7/22 – Raced at either York (4) or Goodwood (3) last time out
- 5/22 – Trained by John Gosden (5 of last 14)
- 4/22 – Trained at Kremlin House Stables (Roger Varian/M Jarvis)
- 3/22 – Favourites
- 14 of the last 19 winners returned 7/1 or bigger
- 4 of the last 9 winners came from stall 5
- 8 of the last 10 winners aged 4 or 5
6.10 – Copper Horse Handicap (4yo+) 1m6f ITV
Copper Horse Handicap Trends
- Just the 5 previous runnings
- 5/5 – Carried 9-1 or more
- 5/5 – Carried between 9-1 and 9-8
- 5/5 – Aged between 4-6 (3 winners aged 6)
- 2/5 – Favourites
- Trainer Willie Mullins won this race in 2023 and 2024
- Trainer David O’Meara won this race in 2022
- Trainer John Gosden won this race in 2021
- Trainer Roger Varian won this race in 2020
- Belloccio won the race in 2024
