See our Royal Ascot trends on day five – the final afternoon’s action from the 2025 meeting. You can use these key Royal Ascot stats to help put history on your side – just apply them to the final runners to find the best profiles based on previous winners.
Royal Ascot Trends Day Five (Saturday 21st June 2025): Key Stats To Help You Find The Saturday Winners
The Royal Ascot 2025 action concludes on Saturday, which is day five and the last afternoon of action at the Berkshire track.
We get going with the Chesham Stakes at 2:30pm – which is a race the Ballydoyle team have won five times in the last nine years.
They try again with Moments Of Joy, who is one of the main Aidan O’Brien Royal Ascot runners on Saturday.
The Hardwicke Stakes is probably not a vintage renewal so all eyes will be on Godolphin’s Rebel’s Romance – this globetrotter has amassed over £10.5 in total prize money.
In this race, however, the Royal Ascot trends on day five tell us 12 of the last 14 winners were aged 4, which would be against the 7 year-old Rebel’s Romance.
It’s then onto the main contest on day five – the Group One Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes – with £567,100 on offer to the winner.
The French runner Lazzat is one of the big fancies, while Ryan Moore and Aidan O’Brien team up with the former Aussie-trained sprinter Storm Boy.
We end the day five action with the Jersey Stakes, the ultra-competitive Wokingham Handicap and the Golden Gates Stakes.
Then end with the Queen Alexandra Stakes – a race trainer Willie Mullins has won four times. He tries again with the Ryan Moore ridden Sober, who is the Frankie Dettori Royal Ascot best bet.
You can see all the Royal Ascot trends on DAY FIVE below – with stats for all seven contests.
Royal Ascot Stats On Saturday
2.30 – Chesham Stakes (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 7f ITV
Chesham Stakes Recent Winners
- 2024 – Bedtime Story (11/8 fav)
- 2023 – Snellen (12/1)
- 2022 – Holloway Boy (40/1)
- 2021 – Point Lonsdale (10/11 fav)
- 2020 – Battleground (11/4 fav)
Chesham Stakes Trends
- 21/22 – No more than 2 previous career runs
- 19/22 – Placed in the top 3 in last race
- 18/22 – Just 1 previous career run
- 18/22 – Foaled in March or earlier
- 16/22 – Raced over 6f last time out (10 won)
- 15/22 – Priced 7/1 or shorter in the betting
- 15/22 – Won last time out
- 8/22 – Favourites (1 joint)
- 7/22 – Irish trained-winners (Aidan O’Brien, 5 of the last 9 winners)
- 2/22 – Trained by the Johnston yard
- 2/22 – Trained by Richard Hannon
- Ryan Moore has won the race in 2011, 2016, 2017, 2020, 2021 & 2024
- 16 of the last 19 winners came between stalls 1-8
- 7 of the last 19 winners came from stalls 1 (3) or 7 (4)
- 14 of the last 19 winners returned 10/1 or shorter
3.05 – Hardwicke Stakes (Group 2) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) 1m4f ITV
Hardwicke Stakes Recent Winners
- 2024 – Isle Of Jura (16/1)
- 2023 – Pyledriver (7/2)
- 2022 – Broome (6/1)
- 2021 – Wonderful Tonight (5/1)
- 2020 – Fanny Logan (17/2)
Hardwicke Stakes Trends
- 22/22 – Won over at least 1m2f before
- 21/22 – Won a Group 2 or 3 previously
- 19/22 – Placed in last race
- 19/22 – Won over 1m4f
- 15/22 – Had run at Ascot
- 14/22 – Priced 6/1 or shorter in the betting
- 14/22 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
- 14/22 – Aged 4 years-old (inc 12 of last 14 winners)
- 12/22 – Favourites placed
- 11/22 – Won their previous race
- 7/22 – Ran at Epsom last time out (Coronation Cup)
- 7/22 – Winning favourites
- 6/22 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (4) or Johnston yard (2)
- 6/22 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
- 15 of the last 19 winners returned 8/1 or shorter
- 13 of the last 19 winners returned 6/1 or shorter
- No winner from stall 1 in the last 19 runnings
- 9 of the last 19 winners came from stalls 2-5 (inc)
3.40 – QEII Jubilee Stakes (Group 1) (CLASS 1) (3yo+) 6f ITV
Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes Recent Winners
- 2024 – Khaadem (14/1)
- 2023 – Khaadem (80/1)
- 2022 – Naval Crown (33/1)
- 2021 – Dream Of Dreams (3/1 fav)
- 2020 – Hello Youmzain (4/1)
Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes Trends
- 20/22 – Won over 6f
- 19/22 – Won a Group Race
- 17/22 – Raced at Ascot
- 16/22 – Aged 5 or younger
- 16/22 – Didn’t win last race
- 15/22 – Won by a UK-based yard
- 11/22 – Returned a double-figure price
- 10/22 – Favourites unplaced
- 6/22 – Raced in the King Charles III earlier at the meeting
- 5/22 – Favourite (joint)
- 2/22 – Trained by James Fanshawe
- 9 of the last 20 winners were Irish-bred
- 10 of the last 20 winners came from a low-figure draw
- No winner from stall 1 in the last 20 runnings
- 9 of the last 20 winners returned a double-figure price
- The last 2 winners trained by Charles Hills
- 2 of the last 6 winners trained by Charlie Appleby
- Ryan Moore has ridden 3 of the last 9
- James Doyle has ridden 2 of the last 6
4.20 – Jersey Stakes (Group 3) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 7f ITV
Recent Jersey Stakes Winners
- 2024 – Haatem (7/2)
- 2023 – Age Of Kings (22/1)
- 2022 – Noble Truth (4/1 fav)
- 2021 – Creative Force (5/1 jfav)
- 2020 – Molatham (11/2)
Jersey Stakes Trends
- 21/23 – Had at least 1 run already that season
- 19/23 – Had 4 or more career runs
- 14/23 – Had won a Listed or better class race before
- 14/23 – Had won over 7f before
- 12/23 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
- 11/23 – Had run at Ascot before
- 10/23 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
- 9/23 – Horses from stall 8 placed
- 9/23 – Favourites unplaced
- 8/23 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
- 6/23 – Won last time out
- 5/23 – Favourites
- 3/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (4 wins in total and 3 in the last 13)
- 2/23 – Trainer by Charlie Appleby (2 of the last 4 runnings)
- The Irish have won 4 of the last 13 runnings
- The horse from stall 11 has finished 2nd in 5 of the last 17 runnings
5.00 – Wokingham Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (CLASS 2) (3yo+ 0-110) 6f ITV
Wokingham Stakes Recent Winners
- 2024 – Unequal Love (12/1)
- 2023 – Saint Lawrence (22/1)
- 2022 – Rohaan (18/1)
- 2021 – Rohaan (8/1)
- 2020 – Hey Jonesy (18/1)
Wokingham Stakes Trends
- 25/25 – Won before over 6f or 7f
- 23/25 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
- 23/25 – No more than 4 runs that season
- 22/25 – Won a race over 6f before
- 21/25 – Finished sixth or better in last race
- 21/25 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
- 16/25 – At least 2 runs already that season
- 16/25 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
- 15/25 – Had raced at Ascot before (8 had won here)
- 12/25 – Raced at either Ascot, Goodwood or Newmarket last time
- 7/25 – Won last time out
- 5/25 – Favourites
- 12 of the last 19 winners carried 9-3 or less in weight
- 11 of the last 19 winners returned 14/1 or shorter
- 14 of the last 19 winners came from a double-figure draw
- 13 of the last 15 winners came from a double-figure stall
- 10 of the last 14 runnings – the top 2 finishers both came from double-figure stalls
- Horse from stall 15 has been placed in 4 of the last 13 runnings
- Since 1980 there have been only 9 winning favourites
- Since 1980 there have been 35 winners returning a double-figure price
- Trainer Paul Cole has won the race 3 times
5.35 – Golden Gates Handicap (3yo) 1m2f ITV
- Only the 5 previous runnings
- 4 of the last 5 winners came between stalls 13-17 (inc)
- Hand Of God (9/4 fav) won this race in 2024
- Burdett Road (20/1) won this race in 2023
- Missed the Cut (5/2 fav) won this race in 2022
- Foxes Tales (13/2) won this race in 2021
- Highland Chief (20/1) won this race in 2020
- Trainer Harry Charlton won this race in 2024
- Trainer George Boughey won this race in 2022
- Trainer Andrew Balding won this race in 2021
- Trainer Paul and Oliver Cole won this race in 2020
6.10 – Queen Alexandra Stakes (Conditions Race) (CLASS 2) (4yo+) 2m5f159y ITV4
Queen Alexandra Stakes Recent Winners
- 2024 – Uxmal (2/1 fav)
- 2023 – Dawn Rising (2/1 fav)
- 2022 – Stratum (10/1)
- 2021 – Stratum (4/1)
- 2020 – Who Dares Wins (Evs fav)
Queen Alexandra Stakes Trends
- 18/22 –Unplaced last time out
- 14/22 –Won over at least 2m on the flat
- 13/22 – Had raced at Ascot
- 12/22 – Aged 4, 5 or 6 years old
- 9/22 – Irish-trained winners
- 9/22 – Won by a NH yard
- 6/22 – Favourites
- 5/22 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (5 of last 15)
- 4/22 – Trained by Willie Mullins (4 of last 13)
- 2/22 – Trained by the Johnston yard (2 of last 10)
- 2/22 – Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of last 12)
- 2/22 – Trained by Gordon Elliott (2 of last 9)
- 2/22 – Trained by Joseph O’Brien (last 2)
- 14 of the last 19 winners returned 6/1 or shorter
- 13 of the last 19 winners came from stalls 9-16 (inc)
- 12 of the last 18 winners came from a double-figure draw
