See our Chelsea vs Arsenal Carabao Cup betting tips ahead of Wednesday’s semi-final first-leg clash at Stamford Bridge – in what will be the eighth time these two sides have met in the League Cup.
Chelsea vs Arsenal Betting Tips: Carabao Cup Semi-Final
- UNDER 2.5 GOALS @ 10/11
- MIKEL MERINO TO SCORE @ 9/2
Chelsea vs Arsenal: Match Details 📝
🗓️Date: Wednesday 14th Jan, 2026
⌚Kick-Off: 20:00 GMT
📺TV: Sky Sports
🏟️Venue: Stamford Bridge
Arsenal Travel Across Town For Chelsea Carabao Cup Semi-Final Clash 🏆
Premier League leaders Arsenal still have a chance of winning the quad – being in the FA Cup fourth round, the Champions League and also a this week a League Cup semi-final.
They are around 66/1 to win all four competitions and the way they are playing, it could just happen.
The Gunners are long odds-on for the Premier League now and also one of the favourites in the Champions League betting odds market.
But next up they must see off fellow Londoners in the Carabao Cup.
The semi-final stage is over two-legs, with the first on Wednesday night at the Bridge.
Surprisingly, Arsenal have only won the League Cup twice before, with their first in 1987 and most recent still back in 1993.
Meaning it’s been 32 years since they won this competition.
While Chelsea have a better overall record, with five wins to their name and their last in 2015.
You can back Arsenal at 15/8 to go all the way, or Chelsea at 9/2.
With the match betting for Wednesday’s first-leg semi-final favouring Arsenal at 13/10, with the draw and Chelsea both at 5/2.
The Gunners are also 2/5 to qualify and Chelsea at 21/10 – suggesting the layers are fully expecting Arsenal to be booking a Wembley trip.
Carabao Cup Match Odds – Chelsea vs Arsenal
- Chelsea – 5/2
- Draw – 5/2
- Arsenal – 13/10
Note: Odds are subject to change
The other Carabao semi-final is between Newcastle and Man City, with the first leg played on Tuesday night.
Chelsea and Arsenal Have Already Met at Stamford Bridge This Season
Recent Chelsea vs Arsenal clashes have been tight (and heated affairs).
They sides played out a 1-1 draw at Stamford Bridge earlier this season, in a game Chelsea’s Moises Caicedo was also sent off in the 38th minute.
If you think lightning might strike again with this correct score – you can back another 1-1 stalemate at 11/2 with the best football betting sites.
The Last THREE Chelsea vs Arsenal H2H’s at The Bridge Ended In Draws
In fact, sharing the spoils – especially when playing at Chelsea – has been a popular result.
As well as the 1-1 draw at the Bridge earlier this season, the pair have in fact drawn ALL of the last THREE H2H’s played in front of Chelsea’s fans.
Two of these three have ended 1-1 and the other 2-2.
Another draw can be backed at 5/2, as don’t forget these Carabao Cup semi-finals are over two-legs – so no extra-time or penalties in Wednesday’s game.
Last SIX Chelsea vs Arsenal H2H’s
- Chelsea 1-1 Arsenal
- Arsenal 1-0 Chelsea
- Chelsea 1-1 Arsenal
- Arsenal 5-0 Chelsea
- Chelsea 2-2 Arsenal
- Arsenal 3-1 Chelsea
Arsenal’s Mikel Merino Has Scored In The Last Two H2H’s Against Chelsea

Chelsea will also be hoping Arsenal’s midfielder Mikel Merino isn’t playing in Wednesday’s semi-final.
Why?
Well, the Spaniard has scored in both the last two H2H’s against the Blues.
With the 29 year-old netting in this season’s 1-1 draw at the Bridge and Arsenal’s 1-0 win last season in the league.
You can back Merino to score the first goal at 12/1 or 9/2 at anytime.
The Last THREE Chelsea vs Arsenal H2H’s Saw Under 2.5 Goals
Recent Chelsea vs Arsenal H2H’s also point to a potential low-scoring game.
Backed up with all of the last three meetings seeing UNDER 2.5 GOALS scored.
Including three of the last four H2H’s at Stamford Bridge also seeing Under 2.5 Goals.
But despite this, the layers are making it hard to split this market.
Going 10/11 on both Over and Under 2.5 Goals.
Who Are The Chelsea and Arsenal Top Scorers This Season?

If you are having a wager in the scoring markets, then it will pay to know the top scorers this season for both Chelsea and Arsenal.
The Gunners hotshot this term has been Gabriel Martinelli with nine goals in all competitions. Plus the Brazilian also netted in the 1-1 draw at the Bridge in 2024.
Martinelli, who also bagged a hat-trick in Arsenal’s recent 4-1 FA Cup win, can be backed at 15/4 anytime or 11/1 to score first.
Then looking at Chelsea, their top scorer this season is currently Enzo Fernandez with eight goals.
The 24 year-old Argentinean is on offer at 14/1 to score first or 11/2 anytime.
Chelsea vs Arsenal Betting Tip: Back A Tight First-Leg
A tight Carabao Cup first-leg semi-final is the call between Chelsea and Arsenal on Wednesday night.
With there two-legs at this stage, neither side will want to throw things away and so we think this match might have to be settled in the returning leg on Feb 3rd.
The draw at 5/2 is tempting at 5/2, but we’ve landed on this being a low-scoring affair.
As mentioned ALL of the last three H2H’s have gone Under 2.5 Goals, plus four of the last six played at the Bridge also saw less than three goals scored.
With this in mind the 10/11 on Under 2.5 Goals looks fair value and is how we are playing this EFL Cup semi.
Plus, with a good recent record when facing Chelsea of late – we’ll also take Arsenal’s Mikel Merino at 9/2 to score anytime.
- BEST BET: UNDER 2.5 GOALS @ 10/11
- BEST BET: MIKEL MERINO TO SCORE @ 9/2
Chelsea vs Arsenal Betting Odds – The Other Main Markets
Both Teams To Score – Chelsea vs Arsenal
- Yes – 8/11
- No – 23/20
Over/Unders – Chelsea vs Arsenal
- Over 2.5 Goals – 10/11
- Under 2.5 Goals – 10/11
- ————————–
- Over 3.5 Goals – 9/4
- Under 3.5 Goals – 1/3
To Qualify – Chelsea vs Arsenal
- Chelsea – 21/10
- Arsenal – 2/5
Note: Odds are subject to change