Sunderland vs Liverpool Prediction, Betting Tips, Odds & Confirmed Lineups

Updated
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Sunderland vs Liverpool prediction

Sunderland and Liverpool meet with both sides looking to bounce back from defeats in the Premier League. We break down the form, team news, odds and best betting tips.

Both teams arrive with a point to prove following weekend setbacks but Sunderland are looking to maintain their formidable home record after an away 3-0 defeat to Arsenal.

Liverpool are desperate to stay in the Champions League hunt after a heartbreaking late loss to Manchester City. That result has seen Slot’s odds in the Premier League sack race shorten, and a loss to Sunderland could plunge the Dutchman into further danger.

With the Black Cats unbeaten at the Stadium of Light this season and Liverpool needing to close the gap on the top four to save their manager’s job, this fixture promises intensity under the lights on Wearside.

Sunderland vs Liverpool Best Bets and Betting Tips

Double Chance: Sunderland or Draw – 6/5

Sunderland’s imperious home form, combined with Liverpool’s inconsistencies on the road, makes opposing an away victory attractive.

The Black Cats are yet to taste defeat at the Stadium of Light this season and will be backed by a raucous crowd, while Liverpool have struggled to kill off games against resolute defences.

Habib Diarra to be Shown a Card – 7/2

Habib Diarra averages 0.46 cards per 90 minutes in the Premier League and finds himself in a defensively demanding role on the right of Sunderland’s midfield four.

He will be directly tasked with doubling up on Liverpool’s dangerous left flank, where the pace and trickery of Cody Gakpo and the overlapping runs of Milos Kerkez will ask serious questions of his defensive discipline.

Forced to track back constantly to support his wing-back and likely to be isolated in 1v1 situations against Gakpo during transitions.

Diarra is a prime candidate for a tactical foul or a mistimed challenge. Given the workload awaiting him on that side, 7/2 looks huge value.

Hugo Ekitike Anytime Goalscorer – 11/8

Hugo Ekitike remains Liverpool’s most potent threat this campaign, leading their scoring charts.

He has outperformed his xG significantly this season, and with Sunderland conceding three against Arsenal last time out, backing the Frenchman to find the net makes sense.

Sunderland vs Liverpool Correct Score Prediction

Sunderland’s resilience at home is impossible to ignore.

They have frustrated the league’s best at the Stadium of Light and will be set up to hit Liverpool on the break, knowing the pressure is entirely on the visitors.

Liverpool have the attacking quality to score through Ekitike and Salah, but with Slot fighting for his future and a ravaged back line featuring a midfielder in defence, a high-intensity stalemate feels likely—a result that may not be enough to silence the speculation surrounding the Liverpool dugout.

Sunderland 1-1 Liverpool

Sunderland vs Liverpool Form Guide

Sunderland arrive looking to respond, having seen their momentum checked by a 3-0 loss to leaders Arsenal.

Despite that result, they remain in the top half of the table and boast an unbeaten home record that has become the envy of the league.

Regis Le Bris has turned the Stadium of Light into a fortress.

Liverpool travel north in 6th place, stinging from a 2-1 defeat to Manchester City where they conceded twice in the final ten minutes.

With the gap to the Champions League places widening, Arne Slot’s men are under immense pressure.

Having won three of their last five in all competitions but struggling for consistency in the league, the Dutchman now finds himself amongst the favourites to be the next manager to leave.

The defeat has inevitably led to increased speculation regarding the next Liverpool manager, with Xabi Alonso and Jurgen Klopp both heavily linked in the markets.

Key Stats & Trends

  • Sunderland form: 3 wins from their last 5 matches (all comps)

  • Liverpool form: 3 wins from their last 5 matches (all comps)

  • League positions: Sunderland 9th, pushing for Europe; Liverpool 6th, chasing top four

  • Sunderland at home: Unbeaten in the Premier League this season

  • Liverpool away: Mixed form, with defensive vulnerabilities exposed in recent trips

Sunderland vs Liverpool Confirmed Lineups & Team News

Sunderland are without midfield general Granit Xhaka (ankle) and Bertrand Traore (knee).

Regis Le Bris has opted for a 5-4-1 formation to stifle Liverpool.

Noah Sadiki parteners Enzo Le Fee  in the engine room while Brian Brobbey will look to score the goals.

Liverpool are in the midst of a full-blown defensive crisis.

Trent Alexander-Arnold’s summer departure to Real Madrid has been compounded by long-term injuries to his replacements, Jeremie Frimpong and Conor Bradley.

To make matters worse, makeshift right-back options are also thin on the ground, with Endo confirmed as starting in defence over Curtis Jones.

Dominik Szoboszlai is suspended following his red card against Man City, with Ryan Gravenberch coming in.

Joe Gomez remains out.

Sunderland Starting XI (4-2-3-1)

GK: Robin Roefs

DEF: Nordi Mukiele, Daniel Ballard, Omar Alderete, Trai Hume, Reinildo

MID: Habib Diarra, Noah Sadiki, Enzo Le Fee, Chemsdine Talbi

FWD: Brian Brobbey

Liverpool Starting XI (4-2-3-1)

GK: Alisson Becker

DEF: Curtis Jones, Ibrahima Konaté, Virgil van Dijk, Milos Kerkez

MID: Ryan Gravenberch, Alexis Mac Allister

MID: Mohamed Salah, Florian Wirtz, Cody Gakpo

FWD: Hugo Ekitike

How to Watch Sunderland vs Liverpool

Kick-off time: 8:15 pm GMT on Wednesday 11 February 2026 at the Stadium of Light.

TV (UK): Live on TNT Sports 1 with coverage starting before kick-off.

Live stream: Available to TNT Sports subscribers via the Discovery+ app/website.

Supporters outside the UK should check local broadcast listings, as coverage varies by territory.

Sunderland vs Liverpool Match Winner Odds

Sunderland: 4/1

Draw: 14/5

Liverpool: 8/11

Odds correct at time of writing and subject to change.