If Sunday’s FA Cup Fourth Round tie is half as dramatic as the meeting between these two sides on Tuesday night, we are in for a classic at St Mary’s.
In one of the most remarkable collapses of the season, Leicester blew a 3-0 half-time lead to lose 4-3 to Southampton in the Championship just days ago.
That result has left the Foxes firmly in the mire of the Championship relegation battle and extended interim boss Andy King’s losing start to three matches.
While Southampton still harbour hopes of getting into the Championship promotion picture with a late run, this cup tie offers a strange psychological test.
Can Leicester pick themselves up off the canvas after such a demoralising blow?
Or will the Saints, buoyed by that second-half super show, inflict more misery on a rudderless visiting side?
Here is the lowdown on the game, our best bets, and how we see it playing out.
Southampton vs Leicester Best Bets and Betting Tips
Leicester to Qualify – 21/10
It might seem counter-intuitive to back the team that just threw away a three-goal lead against the same opponent, but the price here is simply too big to ignore.
Tuesday’s first half showed that Leicester possess the quality to hurt Southampton.
The Foxes were 3-0 up and cruising before a collective mental collapse.
In a one-off cup tie, without the immediate pressure of league points, we expect a reaction.
The squads are fairly evenly matched on paper, and 21/10 implies a gulf in class that doesn’t really exist. Value lies with the visitors.
Flynn Downes to be Booked – 10/3
The midfield battle will be fierce, and Flynn Downes is never one to shy away from the dark arts.
The Saints enforcer averages 0.4 cards per 90 minutes this season and will be tasked with disrupting Leicester’s technical midfield duo of Harry Winks and Oliver Skipp.
With the likes of Divine Mukasa dropping into pockets of space, Downes will be forced to make tactical fouls to break up play.
At 10/3, he looks a solid candidate for a name-check from the referee.
Over 3.5 Goals – 15/8
Lightning can strike twice. Tuesday’s 4-3 thriller highlighted the defensive frailties of both sides.
Leicester’s undercooked backline, expected to feature Jamaal Lascelles and youngster Bade Aluko, looked terrified of pace in the second half, while Southampton’s attacking approach under Tonda Eckert always leaves the back door open.
With both teams likely to rotate slightly but maintaining their attacking philosophies, another high-scoring shootout feels inevitable.
Key Stats & Trends
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Goals Galore: The last meeting (Tuesday) produced 7 goals.
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Defensive Woes: Leicester have conceded 2+ goals in each of their last 4 games.
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Card Magnet: Flynn Downes has 9 yellow cards in all competitions this season.
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Cup Pedigree: Leicester have reached the FA Cup 5th Round in 4 of the last 6 seasons.
Southampton vs Leicester Confirmed Lineups
Southampton (4-2-3-1)
Confirmed XI:
GK: Long
DEF: Jelert, Wood, Quarshie, Manning
MID: Romeu, Bragg
MID:Â Matsuki, Archer, Edozie
FWD:Â Larin
Leicester (4-2-3-1)
Confirmed XI:
GK:Â Stolarczyk
DEF:Â Aluko, Okoli, Nelson, Kristiansen
MID:Â Page, Skipp
MID:Â Mavididi, Mukasa, Monga
FWD:Â Ayew
How to Watch Southampton vs Leicester
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Date: Saturday, February 14, 2026
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Kick-off: 15:00 GMT
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Venue: St Mary’s Stadium, Southampton
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TV Channel: Not televised in the UK
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Live Stream: Not available in the UK
Supporters outside the UK should check local broadcast listings, as coverage varies by territory.
Southampton vs Leicester Match Winner Odds
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Southampton: 4/5
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Draw: 3/1
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Leicester: 7/2
Odds correct at time of writing and subject to change.
Southampton vs Leicester Correct Score Prediction
Given the chaotic 4-3 encounter just days ago, expecting a cagey, low-scoring affair would be a mistake.
Southampton’s high defensive line is a constant invitation for Leicester’s technical midfielders to exploit, while the Foxes’ own defensive fragility—highlighted by shipping four goals in a single half—remains a major concern for interim boss Andy King.
We expect Leicester to start with the same attacking intent that saw them race into a 3-0 lead on Tuesday, but Southampton’s home advantage and superior morale should see them claw back into the game once again.
With both sides fairly evenly matched and the pressure of a cup exit looming, a high-scoring draw in 90 minutes feels like a plausible outcome.
However, with the 21/10 price on the visitors to qualify looking like huge value, we fancy the Foxes to find a second wind and finally put their demons to bed in the additional period.
Southampton 2-2 Leicester (Leicester to win in Extra Time)
