Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount contributes to various Racing Post publications including the Weekender and Racing & Football Outlook, plus the GG.co.uk website. Unearthing value bets via handy systems and statistics, he shares his latest thoughts with SportsCasting readers below.
Andrew heads to Clonmel and the evening AW card at Newcastle for two stats-based picks on Tuesday, December 3rd…
CLONMEL 3.05
LAZER WOLF (system – Gavin Cromwell, first run in a handicap chase, recent outing)
Since the beginning of 2018, Gavin Cromwell has a 14 from 65 record with his handicap chase debutants who were returning to the track within six weeks of their latest outing.
Backing the qualifiers blind would have returned a profit of £10.83 to a £1 level stake at SP. Those running in Class E or lower company were ten from 30 for a profit of £32.25.
LAZER WOLF took a step in the right direction when an 11-1 fifth in novice chase company at Punchestown last month and can make a winning handicap chase debut.
NEWCASTLE 7.00
MR JETMAN (system – Ivan Furtado, stable switchers)
Ivan Furtado has a 23 from 159 record (14.5%) at the first time of asking with horses he takes over from other trainers and backing them blind would have returned a profit of £12.99 to the usual £1 stake (expected winners = 14.95, A/E = 1.54).
So far this year the score is three from ten (winners at 33-1, 16-1 and 11-4) and it could be worth chancing MR JETMAN on his first run since leaving Grant Tuer’s care.
The son of Territories could improve for the first-time cheekpieces, as his sire’s progeny in this headgear are five from 17 for a profit of £22.25.
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