Royal Ascot Trends Day Three - Including Ascot Gold Cup Stats

See our Royal Ascot trends on day three as we list the key stats to help you put history on your side. Apply these to the final runners to find the best profiles based on past winners of each race on Thursday.

Royal Ascot Trends Day Three (Thursday 19th June 2025): Key Stats To Help You Find The Thursday Winners

The Royal Ascot 2025 action continues moves into Thursday and day three – for Ladies’ Day.

We get going with the Norfolk Stakes at 2:30pm, where Aidan O’Brien has trained two of the last 10 winners. While the Royal Ascot trends on day three also tell us 11 of the last 19 winners came between stalls 7 and 12.

The main Aidan O’Brien Royal Ascot runner in the opener will be Charles Darwin

Next up is the King George V Stakes and with the Ralph Beckett yard having won two of the last four – their entry Sing Us A Song looks interesting.

Probably not a vintage Ribbesdale Stakes next at 3:40pm, but some promising sorts and the Ascot trends suggest this could be another for Aidan O’Brien. He’s won five of the last 11 runnings and has Garden Of Eden, Ecstatic and Island Hopping.

It’s Gold Cup time at 4:20pm – the day’s feature and in many people’s eyes – the meeting’s showcase race.

Trawlerman was second last year and will be popular, but has a Gold Cup stat to overcome that tells us only three winners have been aged 7+ since 1930.

You can see all the Royal Ascot trends on DAY THREE below – with stats for all seven contests.

Royal Ascot Stats On Thursday

2.30 – Norfolk Stakes (Group 2) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 5f ITV

Norfolk Stakes Recent Winners

2024 – Shareholder (12/1)
2023 – Valiant Force (150/1)
2022 – The Ridler (50/1)
2021 – Perfect Power (14/1)
2020 – The Lir Jet (9/2)

Norfolk Stakes Trends

22/22 – At least 1 previous run
20/22 – Previous winners over 5f
20/22 – Yet to race at Ascot
18/22 – Had a RPR of 105+
17/22 – Won last race
15/22 – Foaled in March or April
12/22 – Placed favourites
11/21 – 6/1 or shorter in the betting
8/22 – Returned a double-figure (or triple) price
3/22 – Favourites
3/22 – Raced at Windsor last time out
2/22 – Trained by Wesley Ward
2/22 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
Aidan O’Brien has won 2 of the last 10 winners (3 in total)
Richard Fahey has won 2 of the last 4 runnings
11 of the last 19 winners from stalls 7-12 (inc)
The Hannon yard have won the race 4 times

3.05 – King George V Stakes (Handicap) (CLASS 2) (3yo 0-105) 1m4f ITV

King George V Stakes Recent Winners

2024 – Going The Distance (9/1)
2023 – Desert Hero (18/1)
2022 – Secret State (4/1 jfav)
2021 – Surefire (5/1)
2020 – Hukum (12/1)

King George V Stakes Trends

21/22 – Yet to race at Ascot
20/22 – Between 2 and 4 previous runs that season
20/22 – Placed in last race
20/22 – At least 2 previous runs that same season
17/22 – Carried 8-13 or less in weight
15/22 – Won over at least 1m2f previously
13/22 – Priced 9/1 or bigger in the betting
11/22 – Placed favourites
12/22 – Won last time out
4/22 – Won by the Johnston stable (4)
4/22 – Raced at Haydock last time out
4/22 – Favourites (2 joint)
3/22 – Godolphin-owned (Charlie Appleby has trained 2 of the last 10)
12 of the last 19 winners came between stalls 10-20 (inc)
8 of the last 19 winners came between stalls 10-16 (inc)
Ralph Beckett has won 2 of the last 4 winners
Charlie Appleby has trained 2 of the last 10 winners
William Buick has ridden 2 of the last 10 winners

3.40 – Ribblesdale Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m4f ITV

Ribblesdale Stakes Recent Winners

2024 – Port Fairy (12/1)
2023 – Warm Heart (13/2)
2022 – Magical Lagoon (11/4)
2021 – Loving Dream (18/1)
2020 – Frankly Darling (11/8 fav)

Ribblesdale Stakes Trends

19/22 – Never raced at Ascot before
18/22 – Had at least 2 previous races that season
17/22 – Placed in their last race
16/22 – Won over 1m2f or further before
15/22 – Favourites placed
14/22 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the betting
11/22 – Exactly 2 previous runs that season
9/22 – Irish-trained winners (8 of last 13)
8/22 – Won last time out
5/22 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
5/22 – Favourites
5/22 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (5 of last 11)
4/22 – Trained by John Gosden (5 wins in total)
3/22 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor (5 in total)
3/22 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
Just two winners from stall 1 in the last 18 runnings
9 of the last 18 winners came between stalls 3-6 (inc)

4.20 – Ascot Gold Cup (Group 1) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) 2m4f ITV

Recent Ascot Gold Cup Winners

2024 – Kyprios (11/10 fav)
2023 – Courage Mon Ami (15/2)
2022 – Kyprios (13/8 fav)
2021 – Subjectivist (13/2)
2020 – Stradivarius (4/5 fav)

Ascot Gold Cup Trends

21/23 – No more than 2 previous runs that season
21/23 – Aged 6 or younger
20/23 – Between 1-2 previous runs that season
18/23 – Favourites placed
18/23 – Won last time out
18/23 – Won over at least 2 miles on the flat before
15/23 – Previous Group 1 winners
13/23 – Favourites
11/23 – Aged 4 years-old (9 of the last 13)
10/23 – Irish-trained winners
9/23 – Won by Aidan O’Brien
5/23 – Raced at Sandown last time out (Henry II Stakes)
4/23 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (4 of the last 12)
16 of the last 19 winners returned 7/1 or less
12 of the last 19 winners returned 7/2 or less
10 of the last 19 winners came from stalls 1-5 (inc) (6 of the last 8 winners came from stalls 7 or lower)
Godolphin won the race in 1996, 1998, 2000, 2004 & 2012
Aidan O’Brien has trained the winner in 2024, 2022, 2016, 2014, 2011, 2009, 2008, 2007, 2006
John Gosden has trained the winner in 2018, 2019 and 2020
Since 1949 there have been 16 multiple winners of the race
Since 1930 on 3 winners aged 7+ (Yeats x 2, Drum Taps)

5.00 – Britannia Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (Colts & Geldings) (CLASS 2) (3yo 0-105) 1m ITV

Britannia Stakes Recent Winners

2024 – Mickley (15/2)
2023 – Docklands (6/1 fav)
2022 – Thesis (14/1)
2021 – Perotto (18/1)
2020 – Khaloosy (9/2)

Britannia Stakes Trends

20/22 – No more than 3 previous runs that season
18/22 – Won a race over 7f or 1m before
18/22 – Placed in last race
15/22 – Carried 8-13 or less
14/22 – Didn’t win last time out
14/22 – Had never run at Ascot before
13/22 – Returned a double-figure price
12/22 – Favourites unplaced
9/22 – Exactly 2 previous runs that season
9/22 – Only won over 7f previously
4/22 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
4/22 – Favourites
3/22 – Raced at Haydock last time out
3/22 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
Only one top three finish horse from stall 1 in the last 19 runnings
15 of the last 19 winners came from a double-figure stall (2 of the last 5 winners from stall 19)
The first 10 home in 2024 were all from a double-figure stall
Aidan O’Brien has trained just 1 winner (War Envoy, 2015)
8 of the last 10 winners drawn between stalls 10-19
Trainer John Gosden has won the race 4 times (last 2001)

5.35 – Hampton Court Stakes (Group 3) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m2f ITV

Hampton Court Stakes Recent Winners

2024 – Jayrebe (7/1)
2023 – Waipiro (7/1)
2022 – Claymore (7/1)
2021 – Mohaafeth (11/8 fav)
2020 – Russian Emperor (10/3)

Hampton Court Stakes Trends

21/22 – Not raced at Ascot before
19/22 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
19/22 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/22 – Had either 2 or 3 previous runs that season
12/22 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
12/22 – Won over 1m2f before
9/22 – Favourites unplaced
7/22 – Favourites
5/22 – Raced at Epsom last time out
4/22 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien
4/22 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
No winner from stall 1 in the last 19 runnings
15 of the last 19 winners came from stalls 5 or higher
11 of the last 18 winners came from stall 5-9 (inc)

6.10 – Buckingham Palace Handicap (3yo+) 7f ITV4

Buckingham Palace Handicap Trends

9/10 – Had run in the last 6 weeks
9/10 – Had won over at least 6f before
9/10 – Returned 12/1 or bigger in the betting
9/10 – Unplaced favourites
9/10 – Aged 4, 5 or 6 years-old
8/10 – Rated between 92-99
8/10 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
8/10 – Had run at Ascot before
7/10 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
6/10 – Had 5+ wins before
4/10 – Bred in Ireland
2/10 – Trained by Richard Hannon (2 of the last 5)
2/10 – Came from stall 29
2/10 – Ran at Ascot last time out
1/10 – Winning favourites
The last 5 winners were aged 4
Since 2002 only 2 winners aged 7+
6 of the last 7 winners from stalls 24+
2024: English Oak (10/3), Ed Walker, James Doyle

Plus you can see the Royal Ascot day four trends here.

Royal Ascot Trends Day Three – Including Key Stats For Ascot Gold Cup