The first touchdown scorer prop is one of the most electric bets to root for in all of sports. There’s nothing more exhilarating than watching your team line up near the goal line and screaming at the television for the player you chose to get the ball in his hands.
You know we have to throw a few darts for Thursday night’s season-opening matchup between the Buffalo Bills and the Los Angeles Rams. So, with the start of the 2022-23 NFL season just a few hours away, here are the three players you should target to score the first touchdown on Thursday Night Football.
Gabriel Davis 10/1
The last time we saw Gabriel Davis on a football field, he was torching the Kansas City Chiefs for an NFL playoff record four receiving touchdowns in the AFC Divisional Round. Davis is expected to make a huge leap in Year 3 and establish himself as one of the best No. 2 WRs in the NFL.
With Emmanuel Sanders and Cole Beasley leaving the team in the offseason, Davis should see a massive increase in targets and receptions. I think Josh Allen will look to him early and often in Week 1 with Jalen Ramsey shadowing Stefon Diggs on the outside.
We don’t need another four TDs to cash this bet, but the first one would be fantastic.
Allen Robinson 11/1
Odell Beckham Jr. was a touchdown machine for the Rams down the stretch of last season. He found the end zone in seven of his last 11 games of 2021, including the first score of the Super Bowl from 17 yards out.
Replacing Beckham this year as Matt Stafford’s trusty red zone target will be Allen Robinson. The former Jacksonville Jaguar and Chicago Bear is a dangerous scoring weapon thanks to his 6-foot-2, 220-pound frame. It wouldn’t be surprising if Sean McVay tried to show off his shiny, new toy from the jump Thursday night.
I think Robinson could score double-digit touchdowns this season with the best quarterback he’s ever caught passes from, and hopefully, that starts in Week 1.
Darrell Henderson 16/1
Everyone expects Cam Akers to put a strangelhold on LA’s backfield and run away (literally) with the starting RB job. I’m not so convinced.
After returning from his Achilles injury in a miraculously short amount of time, Akers struggled to the tune of 2.6 yards per carry in the playoffs. I don’t think he’ll be 100% healthy and back to his old self until the start of next season, which provides a sneaky opportunity for Darrell Henderson.
If Akers and Henderson operate in a 50-50 split Thursday night, which is exactly what I’m expecting, you have to take a stab at Henderson to score the first touchdown at 16/1 odds. Akers is priced all the way down at +850, but he may not even lead the Rams in carries.
This is strictly a value play on a running back I believe will see more snaps than the market expects.
All betting odds courtesy of FanDuel as of 9/8.
How to get help: In the U.S., contact the National Council on Problem Gambling helpline at 1-800-522-4700.