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Whew, what a start to the season!

If you’ve been following along with my NFL betting picks (and hopefully tailing), you’d be up a pretty penny with Gabriel Davis 10/1 to score the first touchdown on Thursday night and a clean 6-0 sweep on Sunday’s best bets headlined by the New York Giants moneyline at +198 odds.

It’s been a profitable week, sure, but we’re not done yet. Let’s keep the hot streak going and find some winners for the Monday Night Football matchup between the Denver Broncos and the Seattle Seahawks.

Broncos vs. Seahawks odds, spread, prediction

Spread: Broncos -6.5
Total: 43.5
Moneyline: Broncos -270, Seahawks +220

The NFL knew exactly what it was doing with the first Monday Night Football clash of the year. Russell Wilson, who spent the first 10 years of his pro career with the Seahawks, will return to Lumen Field to take on his old team now as a member of the Broncos.

Considering the lopsided quarterback matchup of Wilson vs. Geno Smith, it’s understandable that Denver is a hefty road favorite in this one. The Broncos are currently 6.5-point favorites against the Seahawks, with the total sitting at a relatively low 43.5.

I don’t have enough confidence either way to bet a side for MNF. I wouldn’t be surprised if Wilson and the Broncos roll from start to finish in a blowout, but I could also see the Seahawks being frisky with a coaching staff that should know better than any team how to neutralize Russ in the passing game. Either way, I wouldn’t feel confident betting on the new-look Broncos until I see how this offense looks first.

If I had to pick a side or a total for MNF, I’d probably roll with the under. The under is 93-66-3 in primetime NFL games since 2019, and these offenses should take some time to find their grooves with new signal-callers in place.

Monday Night Football prediction Broncos 20, Seahawks 16

Monday Night Football best bets

Russell Wilson runs onto the field before a game.
Russell Wilson of the Denver Broncos runs onto the field before a preseason game against the Minnesota Vikings | Dustin Bradford/Getty Images

Broncos vs. Seahawks First Touchdown Scorer Picks: 3 Juicy Bets to Target for Monday Night Football

Rashaad Penny UNDER 67.5 rushing yards (-110)

Unfortunately, I don’t have a strong read on this game from a side or total perspective, but that doesn’t mean we can’t find value in the betting market. One play I do feel strongly about his Rashaad Penny to go under his rushing yards total of 67.5.

The Seattle offensive line should get manhandled by a strong Denver front seven, and it’s likely the Seahawks find themselves down early and have to air it out to stay in the game. There’s also a chance rookie Kenneth Walker suits up Monday night, which would severely cut into Penny’s playing time.

The only ways Penny could go over this number is if he rips off a long run or if the Seahawks take an early lead and can pound the rock for the rest of the game. I don’t see either scenario playing out, so I’ll roll with the under here.

Courtland Sutton anytime touchdown scorer (+165)

We’ll officially find out who Wilson’s new favorite target is on Monday night, but I’m willing to bet Courtland Sutton has already won that role. Sutton is extremely effective as a downfield threat, and you know Wilson is going to take some deep shots in his first game against his former team.

Sutton (+165) is priced higher than Jerry Jeudy (+145) to score a touchdown Monday night, but I think they should be closer to even to find the end zone. Give me Sutton at a juicier price.

All betting odds courtesy of FanDuel as of 9/12.

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