NASCAR
Points Update: Martin Truex Jr., Kevin Harvick Experience That Sinking Feeling in NASCAR’s Playoff Race
The stat lines for Martin Truex Jr. and Kevin Harvick simply do not make sense. Harvick has led a miserly 13 laps all season while Truex has led at least that many in six races, including 172 over the weekend at Loudon. But while Truex is 68 points ahead in the NASCAR Cup Series standings, Harvick is finishing in the top five and top 10 more often.
There is one way in which their performances do converge: Neither has won a race, which is why we’re looking at a realistic possibility of both missing the playoffs when the field is set after the Daytona summer race.
Christopher Bell knocked Kevin Harvick far below the cut line
Christopher Bell’s victory at New Hampshire Motor Speedway all but guaranteed the driver of the No. 20 Toyota another NASCAR Cup Series playoffs berth. In the course of doing so, he matched Kevin Harvick in top-five (5) and top-10 (11) results, but that’s where the similarities now end.
Bell became the season’s 14th winner, and that shoved Harvick into must-win territory. That’s because the driver of the No. 4 Ford dropped from a precarious but manageable 19 points under the playoff cut line to 68 points back. That’s too big a number to think about making up over the final six regular-season races, especially with two being on road courses. Though he’s placed between fourth and 11th in three races away from ovals in 2022, he gave away lots of points on road circuits a year ago.
Rank | Driver | Points | Race Wins | Stage Wins | Playoff Pts | Top 5 | Top 10 |
1 | Chase Elliott | 734 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 7 | 14 |
2 | Ross Chastain | 667 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 14 |
3 | Ryan Blaney | 656 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 10 |
4 | Martin Truex Jr. | 619 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 8 |
5 | Kyle Larson | 616 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 10 |
6 | Kyle Busch | 594 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 11 |
7 | Joey Logano | 582 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 8 |
8 | Christopher Bell | 570 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 11 |
9 | Kevin Harvick | 551 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 |
10 | William Byron | 536 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 4 | 5 |
11 | Alex Bowman | 510 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
12 | Aric Almirola | 490 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
13 | Austin Cindric | 489 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
14 | Kurt Busch | 485 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 8 |
15 | Daniel Suarez | 479 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 8 |
16 | Tyler Reddick | 474 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
Martin Truex Jr. isn’t much better off than Kevin Harvick
Unless it’s Ryan Blaney, who’s one spot ahead of him in third place, the next winless driver to pull onto Victory Lane in the next month and a half sends Martin Truex Jr. below the playoff cutline, so his current 68-point lead over Kevin Harvick is virtually meaningless.
Aric Almirola and Erik Jones are both running in the top half of the field in points, so winning a race isn’t out of the question. Throw in veterans like Michael McDowell and Ricky Stenhouse Jr., plus Bubba Wallace coming off third place at Loudon, and Truex has to be feeling queasy.
Worse, two of the remaining six races are on the Indianapolis Motor Speedway infield and at Watkins Glen, and the Toyotas have been disappointing on road courses in the first year of the Next Gen car.
Missing the playoffs would be heartbreaking for Truex. He’s run more consistently than just about anyone in the Cup Series, yet Denny Hamlin has erased multiple bad outings with two victories, and even Alex Bowman has triumphed once in what is becoming a forgettable season.
Missing the shot at reaching the Championship 4 isn’t inevitable, but Truex is in trouble unless he wins.
Rank | Driver | Points | Race Wins | Stage Wins | Playoff Pts | Top 5 | Top 10 |
17 | Chase Briscoe | 465 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 4 |
18 | Erik Jones | 465 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
19 | Denny Hamlin | 441 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 5 |
20 | Austin Dillon | 421 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
21 | Michael McDowell | 415 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 |
22 | Justin Haley | 391 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
23 | Bubba Wallace | 389 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
24 | Chris Buescher | 380 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
25 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 348 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
26 | Cole Custer | 333 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
27 | Harrison Burton | 319 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Rank | Driver | Points | Race Wins | Stage Wins | Playoff Pts | Top 5 | Top 10 |
28 | Ty Dillon | 314 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
29 | Brad Keselowski | 296 | 0 | 0 | -10 | 0 | 3 |
30 | Todd Gilliland | 296 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
31 | Corey LaJoie | 227 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
32 | Cody Ware | 155 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
33 | David Ragan | 61 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
34 | Joey Hand | 44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
35 | Greg Biffle | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
36 | Jacques Villeneuve | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
37 | Boris Said | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
38 | Kyle Tilley | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
All stats courtesy of Racing Reference.
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