BMW Championship Odds and Picks: 3 Outright Bets to Target at Wilmington Country Club

The FedEx Cup Playoffs roll on to Wilmington Country Club this weekend, as the top 70 in the standings will tee it up at the BMW Championship for the second postseason event of the PGA Tour schedule. For the second straight week, Rory McIlroy has been pegged as the betting favorite (+1000), with Jon Rahm (+1200) close behind and four players at +1400.

But I’m going beyond the top favorites for my three outright bets for the BMW Championship.

Tony Finau 16/1

Tony Finau is the hottest golfer on planet earth right now, and there isn’t really a close second. Over his last three starts, the 32-year-old has two wins and a T5 finish to his name. He’s gained strokes on the field in every single category over that span.

Finau hasn’t shot worse than 69 in 13 straight rounds on the PGA Tour. He’s never been more dialed in over the course of his career, but for some reason, there are six names ahead of him on the odds board this week.

Wilmington Country Club fits Finau’s game perfectly as a long golf course that emphasizes solid tee-to-green game. If his putter can stay hot, he’s almost guaranteed to be in the mix come Sunday afternoon.

Cameron Young 22/1

Cameron Young hits a tee shot during the Rocket Mortgage Classic.
Cameron Young plays his shot from the ninth tee during the first round of the Rocket Mortgage Classic at Detroit Golf Club | Gregory Shamus/Getty Images

Will Zalatoris finally brought home his first PGA Tour victory at last week’s FedEx St. Jude Championship, and now it’s his college teammate’s turn.

It’s almost shocking that Cameron Young hasn’t won a PGA Tour event this season. The talented rookie has five runner-ups and two third-place finishes to his name, and he had a realistic chance to win all seven of those tournaments.

Young can absolutely bomb it off the tee, as he ranks fourth on Tour this season in driving distance. That will help him immensely on a 7,500-yard course with two 600-yard par 5s. His second-worst putting week of the season doomed him at the FedEx St. Jude Championship, but that should turn around on these pristine bentgrass greens at Wilmington Country Club.

Let’s go back-to-back with the Wake Forest stars.

Max Homa 50/1

Max Homa is one of the most consistent ball-strikers on the PGA Tour, so it’s been a bit surprising to watch him struggle with his irons recently. The 31-year-old has lost strokes on approach in four straight starts, and he still finished inside the top 25 in two of them.

I’m expecting some regression to the mean this week. Wilmington Country Club is going to reward players who can hit their long irons well, and that’s normally Homa’s forte. If he can find a groove with his approach play again, I love his 50/1 price this week.

All betting odds courtesy of FanDuel as of 8/16.

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