Supercomputer Predicts FULL Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe Finishing Order

Ahead of the richest flat race in Europe – for a bit of fun – we asked an AI Supercomputer their thoughts on the big Longchamp and to give their Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe best bets and FULL finishing order. 

See below their answer and if any of the Supercomputer Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe picks mirror your fancies for Sunday’s race.

Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe 2025 – The Race Context & Key Factors

Trends & Draws 📈

• The Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe trends say low draws have strongly dominated in recent renewals: 18 of the last 23 winners have broken from stalls 1–8.

• Last year’s winner, Bluestocking, had stall 3; notably, 7 of the top 9 finishers in 2024 came from low stalls (1-7).

• That suggests inside or low-middle draws will be an advantage, especially in a race that often becomes tactical.

Going / Ground Conditions ☔

• Rain is forecast before the race, so there’s a risk of the Longchamp going being softened turf.

• Those with proven form on soft or heavy ground (or at least that handle a bit of cut) will have an extra edge.

• On the flip side, horses that prefer firm or good ground may be vulnerable if the going goes against them.

• Some recent commentary suggests any rain could help Aventure and Kalpana, while Japanese challengers may prefer quicker going.

International/Historical Subplots 🌏

• Japan is still seeking a first Arc victory (having placed second on four occasions). Their trio — Byzantine Dream, Croix Du Nord, Alohi Alii — will be closely watched.

• French legend André Fabre fields Sosie (last year’s favourite, ran 4th) and Cualificar (ridden by William Buick, who has yet to win the Arc).

• Aidan O’Brien, with prior Arc wins (2007, 2016), is represented by Minnie Hauk, the likely favourite, and possibly supplemented.

• The betting market seems polarized: some see a duel for favourite status between Minnie Hauk and other top 2025 Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe runners.

Form, Fitness & Suitability 🏇

• Minnie Hauk (stall 1) is unbeaten this season and has quality form. Her low draw is a big plus in this race.

• Daryz is an up-and-coming three-year-old who could improve stepping up in distance and company.

• Sosie, with Arc experience and proven class, is a strong contender, especially if the pace is honest.

• Alohi Alii among the Japanese runners looks interesting if the ground doesn’t get too soft.

• Giavellotto has shown good form (e.g. winning the Hong Kong Vase) but will need to translate that to Longchamp.

Given all of that, this looks like a competitive renewal where draw, ground, and race tactics will be decisive.

Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe Projected Finish: 1-2-3-4 🏆

Here’s how I see it playing out:

1. MINNIE HAUK — The perfect blend of class, form, and favorable draw (1). If she handles the ground (and she likely will, given her adaptability), she has all the credentials to go one better than her supplementary entry.

2. Daryz — A three-year-old with upside, possibly improving for the occasion. If the leaders drop back, Daryz could swoop into second.

3. Sosie — Experienced, battle-hardened, and with a proven record (4th in 2024). In a strong renewal, might get boxed into third, especially if ground or pace plays to her strengths.

4. Alohi Alii — Among the Japanese challengers, I reckon Alohi Alii is best positioned (drawn 4) to sneak into the frame, especially if the ground remains not too soft.

If pressed for a “small shake-up” candidate, Giavellotto or Aventure might sneak into the money, depending on how the pace plays out and how the ground holds.

Here’s a projected finishing order (1 through 17) for the 2025 Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe (with Estrange a non-runner).

This is speculative — many variables (ground, pace, luck) will shift things on the day — but this gives a full forecast based on form, draw, trainer/jockey, and known preferences.

With the Supercomputer AI Arc selections very similar to Andy Newton’s Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe tips and 1-2-3 best bets.

DID YOU KNOW? 2025 Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe favourite Minnie Hauk is named after a US opera singer, who lived between 1851 and 1929.

Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe Projected Order (1 → 17):

Thoughts Behind the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe Full Finishing Order:

• Top 4 as before: Minnie Hauk (low draw, class), Daryz (improver), Sosie (veteran), Alohi Alii (solid Japanese hope)

• 5th: Aventure — last year’s runner-up, versatile, often in the mix in strong renewals.

• 6th: Giavellotto — has shown strong form (e.g. Kempton/September Stakes) and can’t be dismissed despite age (last 6+ year-old winner 1932)

• 7th: Cualificar — has class and from top yard (Andre Fabe), drawn okay in 8 (just) and won trial race Prix Niel.

• 8th: Kalpana — former favourite will need to hit top gear; ground may be a swing factor.

• 9th: Quisisana — could sneak into the first half if pace favors closers.

• 10th: Leffard — capable for top Arc yard but perhaps outpaced by stronger rivals and softer ground a concern.

• 11th: Los Angeles — good horse (3rd last year) but might struggle from a tougher draw and against the top echelon.

• 12th: Byzantine Dream — a danger (especially among Japanese runners) but I slot him mid-field here with draw 15 no ideal.

• 13th: White Birch — Irish raider, classy on his day but has had his problems in recent seasons.

• 14th: Hotazhell — decent but probably lacks the staying power or class to hit the frame.

• 15th: Gezora — may struggle with class and/or trip.

• 16th: Arrow Eagle — vulnerable given draw (16) and overall depth of field.

• 17th: Croix Du Nord — one of the wide-drawn (17) Japanese runners; unless things go his way, he may be boxed out.

Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe Best Bets: Supercomputer Tipping Minnie Hauk To Hit The High Notes

The Aidan O’Brien-trained Minnie Hauk gets her name from a US opera singer that belted out songs in the 1800’s (pictured below) – and the AI Supercomputer is making her a leading Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe best bet.

It’s easy to see why as Minnie Hauk will head into Sunday’s race as the likely Arc favourite and a stack of stats on her side.

Draw 1 looks okay – with 18 of the last 23 winners coming from gates 8 or lower.

While fillies have a top recent record – winning the race five times since 2016, including last year.

She’s also done nothing wrong this season, winning all four starts – with her most recent an easy win in the Yorkshire Oaks in August (watch below).

Minnie Hauk also gets the full weight allowance – age and sex – so will only carry 8st 9lbs, which is a full 10lbs less than the older male horses in the race – like her stablemate Los Angeles.

Her trainer Aidan O’Brien has also won the race twice in the past – nine years apart in 2007 (Dylan Thomas) and 2016 (Found) – so with another nine years gone by, will this trend continue in 2025?

The AI Supercomputer seems to think so.

When Is The Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe 2025?

📅Date: Sunday 5th October 2025
⌚Time: 3:05pm
🏇Racecourse: Longchamp
💰Winning Purse: £2,361,157
📺 TV: ITV Racing Schedule / Sky Racing

WATCH: Bluestocking Winning The 2024 Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe