NFL

Does Andrew Luck Deserve Hall of Fame Recognition?

The single greatest honor an NFL player can receive is to be inducted into the Pro Football Hall of Fame. Of course, only a small minority of former players will ever earn that privilege. And not surprisingly, the evaluation of various players’ induction-worthiness is a constant source of debate among both fans and commentators.

One player who has already begun generating a lot of Hall of Fame debate is former Indianapolis Colts quarterback Andrew Luck. Luck shocked the world of the NFL by announcing his retirement two weeks before the start of the 2019 season, at the age of 29. Here we recap that surprising decision, before taking a closer look at the cases for and against Luck’s Hall of Fame eligibility.

Why did Andrew Luck retire from the NFL?

Andrew Luck warms up before a Colts game
Andrew Luck warms up before a game | Maddie Meyer/Getty Images

Luck’s decision to retire from the NFL came as a huge shock, especially coming on the heels of arguably his most successful season. In 2018, Luck threw a career-high 430 completions, with a career-best 67.3% completion rate, according to Pro Football Reference. He also posted a career-best quarterback rating of 98.7.

Injuries played a large role in Luck’s decision to retire. He struggled with multiple injuries throughout his career. A lingering shoulder injury ultimately cost him the entire 2017 season.

Rumors of comebacks have swirled around Luck since his retirement. Colts owner Jim Irsay has constantly put these rumors to bed.

Who votes for the Pro Football Hall of Fame?

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Getting into the Hall of Fame is obviously a difficult task for any player. First, you must be nominated. To be considered, they must have been retired for at least five years.

According to the Pro Football Hall of Fame, the 48-person Selection Committee then winnows the list of nominees down to 25 semifinalists — and then to 15 finalists.

Those 15 finalists move on to the final round, which is held during the annual meeting on “Selection Saturday.” The Selection Committee reduces the list from 15 to just five players, then votes yes or no on whether each of those five players are elected into the Hall. For a player to get in, at least 80% of the committee must vote yes.

Does Andrew Luck have a case for the NFL Hall of Fame?

Luck obviously won’t be eligible for Hall of Fame consideration for a few more years. Yet that’s no reason we can start analyzing his case for induction.

Let’s start by reviewing Luck’s overall time in the league. He was a four-time Pro Bowl selection, won the 2018 Comeback Player of the Year award, and led the league in passing touchdowns in 2014.

According to Pro Football Reference, in his six seasons of active play, Luck amassed 2,000 completions, 23,671 passing yards, and 171 passing touchdowns. While Luck undeniably had the talent necessary to one day get to the Hall of Fame, he simply didn’t manage to tally enough stats to give himself a strong case.

Likewise, for all of his talent, Luck never managed to establish himself as a top-four player of his generation. In other words, he never quite reached the same level of greatness as Tom Brady, Drew Brees, Aaron Rodgers, or Peyton Manning. And those players obviously eclipse him when it comes to their stat totals.

Perhaps the best comparison for Luck’s HOF case is Hall of Fame quarterback Kurt Warner. Yet Warner played 12 seasons versus Luck’s seven. Warner also totaled more counting stats that Luck. Maybe even more importantly, Warner also made it to the Super Bowl twice, leading his St. Louis Rams to a victory in a Super Bowl.

Luck, meanwhile, never managed to make it to the big game — let alone taking home a championship ring. For that reason, he should probably resign himself to never making it into the Hall of Fame.

All stats courtesy of Pro Football Reference