NFL

NFL Week 5 Odds, Predictions, and Best Bets: Browns Move to 4-1, Chiefs Roll Raiders Yet Again

COVID-19 tried its very best to affect the Week 5 NFL betting slate, but we’ll still have 11 games on Sunday to choose from. Sadly, it might be one of the worst slates of the entire season. The Browns/Colts game is somehow the best matchup on the board. There might not be a high-powered game between two Super Bowl contenders, but we still get football this Sunday. So, let’s make some money off of it.

NFL Week 5 betting odds

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The schedule for Week 4 and odds for every game are as follows:

Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons (-2.5, 54.5)
Las Vegas Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs (-11, 55)
LA Rams at Washington Football Team (+7, 46)
Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans (-5.5, 55)
Arizona Cardinals at New York Jets (+7, 47.5)
Philadelphia Eagles at Pittsburgh Steelers (-7, 44.5)
Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens (-11, 50.5)
Miami Dolphins at San Francisco 49ers (-8, 51)
New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys (-8.5, 52.5)
Indianapolis Colts at Cleveland Browns (+1, 48)
Minnesota Vikings at Seattle Seahawks (-6.5, 56)
LA Chargers at New Orleans Saints (-8, 50.5)

All odds courtesy of DraftKings as of 10/11

Best bets for NFL Week 5

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Browns +1

A few years ago, you wouldn’t be caught dead with a Cleveland Browns ticket. But this isn’t the same Browns team. Baker Mayfield finally looks like his Oklahoma self. Odell Beckham Jr. proved he still has the breakaway speed to change a game. Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt make up the best backfield in the NFL. Myles Garrett might be the best pass rusher in the league.

Chubb sprained his MCL last week and won’t be available for the game, but the Colts have even more injury problems. Anthony Castonzo, their star left tackle, will be out for the game this Sunday, as will defensive leader Darius Leonard. You could argue Castonzo and Leonard are the most important players for Indianapolis on both sides of the ball.

The Colts want to run the ball, and they might struggle to do so without Castonzo. The Browns are susceptible to the deep ball, but Philip Rivers can’t heave it downfield like he used to. On the other side of the ball, Hunt should have a big day with Leonard on the sidelines.

Browns win outright and move to 4-1 for the first time in 26 years.

Browns 24, Colts 23

Chiefs -11

It’s never fun to back a huge favorite and risk the backdoor swinging open at the end of the game, but it sure is fun to back the Chiefs almost every week. Since Patrick Mahomes joined the league in 2017, he’s 26-12-2 ATS. And many of those games have been double-digit spreads.

That’s the case again here against the division rival Las Vegas Raiders. The last time these two met? Kansas City won 40-9. The time before that? 28-10.

Andy Reid owns Jon Gruden as a head coach, and Mahomes doesn’t lose to divisional opponents. Don’t overcomplicate this one. Eleven points is too short here.

Chiefs 38, Raiders 21

Teaser of the week

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Browns +7/Cowboys -1.5

The Browns are a perfect teaser leg at +1. If you can find a +1.5 before kickoff, that would be even better to get over the key number of seven. Even at +1, bringing the Browns up to +7 is a no-brainer. As stated before, the Colts have two key injuries for this game, and the matchup favors the Browns’ style of play. This should be a one-possession game either way.

The Cowboys can’t lose to the Giants, right? RIGHT?? The way they’ve looked this season, it actually wouldn’t be too surprising. But the Giants are an absolute mess. They have injuries all over the place, and Daniel Jones is getting no help from his offensive weapons. Dallas has scored 109 points over the last three games. New York has scored 47 all season. The Giants don’t have the firepower to hang with the Cowboys offensively. Dallas wins easily.